New Estimates of Census Coverage in the United States, 1850-1930
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 37, Heft 1, S. 71-101
ISSN: 1527-8034
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In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 37, Heft 1, S. 71-101
ISSN: 1527-8034
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 32, Heft 3, S. 307-345
ISSN: 1527-8034
Despite the importance of marriage for the economic and demographic history of the nineteenth-century United States, there are few published estimates of the timing and incidence of marriage and no published studies of its correlates before 1890, when the Census Office first tabulated marital status by age, sex, and nativity. In this article I rely on the 1860 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series census sample to construct national and regional estimates of white nuptiality by nativity and sex and to test theories of marriage timing. I supplement this analysis with two new public use samples of Civil War soldiers. The Gould sample, collected by the U.S. Sanitary Commission between 1863 and 1865, allows me to test whether height and body mass influenced white men's propensity to marry. Additionally, a sample of Union Army recruits linked to the 1860 census, created as part of the Early Indicators of Later Work Levels, Disease, and Death project, allows me to combine suspected economic, demographic, and anthropometric correlates of marriage into a multivariate model of never-married white men's entrance into first marriage. The results indicate that nuptiality was moderately higher in 1860 than it was in 1890. In contrast to previous studies that emphasize the primary importance of land availability and farm prices, I find that single women's opportunity to participate in the paid labor force was the most important determinant of marriage timing. I also find modest support for the hypothesis that height affected men's propensity to marry, consistent with the theory that body size was a sign to potential marriage partners of future earnings capacity and health.
In: The journal of economic history, Band 61, Heft 2, S. 486-489
ISSN: 1471-6372
In: The history of the family: an international quarterly, Band 4, Heft 3, S. 339-365
ISSN: 1081-602X
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 21, Heft 4, S. 481
ISSN: 1527-8034
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 47, Heft 3, S. 325-331
ISSN: 1527-8034
Abstract2021 marked the 30-year anniversary of the publication Fatal Years: Child Mortality in the late Nineteenth-Century United States, a pioneering work in historical demography by Samuel H. Preston and Michael R. Haines. This special issue showcases the current state of historical mortality studies through a collection of articles originally presented at two commemorative sessions at the 2021 meeting of the Social Science History Association. It provides new and more nuanced evidence on several of the major themes of Fatal Years in terms of the mortality experience and includes studies of a wide range of contexts, from North America, to Ireland, England and Wales, and continental Europe. They all bring new evidence and leverage the dramatic development that has taken place in availability of large-scale micro-level data in the 30 years since Fatal Years was published. This introduction first provides some background to the collection and then summarizes the main findings from the different articles included. Preston and Haines provide a coda to this collection with a short reflection article on researching and writing Fatal Years.
In: Annales de démographie historique: ADH, Band 138, Heft 2, S. 143-177
ISSN: 1776-2774
De 1835 à 1935, la fécondité aux États-Unis a chuté de 7 enfants par femme à 2,1. Le dépouillement intégral du recensement américain réalisé par IPUMS pour les années 1850, 1880, 1910 et 1930 permet d'analyser très finement cette baisse. Pour cela, nous construisons des modèles inclusifs de la fécondité des couples qui prennent en compte une très large variété de facteurs économiques, sociaux, culturels et familiaux, y compris des mesures de la religiosité et de la disponibilité de membres de la famille résidant hors du ménage mais à proximité de celui-ci. Nos résultats mettent en évidence le rôle majeur dans la baisse de la fécondité joué par les pratiques et perceptions culturelles et religieuses, approchées par l'origine des parents – notamment le pays de naissance – et les choix de prénoms.
In: NBER Working Paper No. w16134
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In: NBER Working Paper No. w12571
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In: NBER Working Paper No. w12572
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In: Annales de démographie historique: ADH, Band 110, Heft 2, S. 17
ISSN: 1776-2774
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 47, Heft 3, S. 333-366
ISSN: 1527-8034
AbstractWith only a few exceptions, the historical study of individual-level correlates of child mortality in the United States has been limited to the period surrounding the turn of the twentieth century, when children ever born and children surviving data collected by the 1900 and 1910 censuses allow indirect estimation of child mortality. The recent release of linked census data, such as the IPUMS MLP datasets, allows a different type of indirect estimation over a longer period. By following couples across subsequent decennial censuses, it is possible to infer child mortality by measuring whether couples' own children in the first census were still present in the second census. We focus our analysis on children aged 1–3 in the first of two linked censuses, who were less likely to be undercounted by the census than infants, and unlikely to be living apart from their parents in the second census. We estimate child mortality over the intervening decade and use OLS regression to correlate that mortality to the residence location and socioeconomic characteristics of their parents' households. We limit our analysis to three panel datasets for married couples linked between the 1850–60, 1860–70, and 1870–80 censuses, when real estate and personal estate wealth data were collected. Our results indicate a significant negative relationship between wealth and child mortality across all regions of the United States and over the entire period examined.
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 44, Heft 1, S. 57-89
ISSN: 1527-8034
ABSTRACTThe societal integration of immigrants is a great concern in many of today's Western societies, and has been so for a long time. Whether we look at Europe in 2015 or the United States at the turn of the twentieth century, large flows of immigrants pose challenges to receiving societies. While much research has focused on the socioeconomic integration of immigrants there has been less interest in their demographic integration, even though this can tell us as much about the way immigrants fare in their new home country. In this article we study the disparities in infant and child mortality across nativity groups and generations, using new, high-density census data. In addition to describing differentials and trends in child mortality among 14 immigrant groups relative to the native-born white population of native parentage, we focus special attention on the association between child mortality, immigrant assimilation, and the community-level context of where immigrants lived. Our findings indicate substantial nativity differences in child mortality, but also that factors related to the societal integration of immigrants explains a substantial part of these differentials. Our results also point to the importance of spatial patterns and contextual variables in understanding nativity differentials in child mortality.
In: Social science history: the official journal of the Social Science History Association, Band 47, Heft 3, S. 367-395
ISSN: 1527-8034
AbstractThis article appraises kin availability and migration timing on French-Canadian child mortality in an early twentieth-century North American industrial city. The analysis is based on the exploitation of an original dataset constructed by linking the 1910 census data (IPUMS-Full Count) for Manchester, New Hampshire to Quebec Catholic marriage records (BALSAC) and geocoding census data at the household level (Sanborn Fire Insurance Maps). Our results suggest that the presence of maternal and paternal grandmothers in the city living in different households were associated with reduced child mortality and that French-Canadian women who arrived in the United States as children or young adults experienced higher child mortality compared to second-generation French Canadians and those who migrated at a later age.
In: NBER Working Paper No. w27668
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