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Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Epigraph -- Contents -- Figures and Tables -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Introduction -- 2. Theoretical Foundations -- 3. Life Force as the Underlying Motivation -- 4. Understanding the Operational Context -- 5. Purpose, Capabilities, and Strength of Motive -- 6. Perseverance and Determination -- 7. Passion and Sacrifice -- 8. Value of Goals and Objectives -- 9. Constraints, Pressure Points, Decisive Points, and Centers of Gravity -- 10. That Which Truly Matters -- 11. The Influences of Alternatives and Pressures on Will -- 12. Balancing Advantages, Disadvantages, and the Marvelous Trinity -- 13. Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) and Will -- 14. The Thinking Adversary -- 15. How to Think Critically about Will -- 16. Conclusion: A State of Continuity -- Glossary -- Bibliography -- Index -- About the Author

This book advocates changes in the U.S. intelligence system. The current system does some things very well, but it must improve in many areas of thought and action to have any hope of using intelligence as a weapon system and winning the war of wits upon which the security of the United States depends. It does not imply our current collection people and organizations are incapable -- many people do great and wonderful collection planning and execution today. It does say that to engage our adversaries successfully in future conflict, the U.S. intelligence collection system must undergo some changes to improve how people, organizations, and machines provide sufficient data, information, and knowledge to support successful operations of all kinds across the spectrum of conflict. Advanced intelligence collection to support military and nonmilitary actions, particularly in dense urban operating environments, must be: (1) a coordinated enterprise of synchronized national- to tactical-level support; (2) agile in thought, organizations, and collection; (3) precise; (4) specific; (5) accurate; and (6) relevant. In addition, intelligence analysts, organizations, and collectors must produce data, information, and knowledge that are helpful to decision making, on time, and clear to the recipient of the constant overwatch, nurturing, and largess of the broad knowledge community of practice -- minds, technical collectors, computers, human collectors, nontraditional sources and methods, open sources, databases, and focused sensors. This sounds simple; however, it is neither a simple idea nor a simple task. In fact, what this book proposes is a huge and difficult endeavor.

Advanced analysis is a critically important aspect of winning engagements, battles, and campaigns against insurgents, irregulars, and terrorists. These adversaries are formidable, and they will purposefully engage U.S. forces from dense urban settings. They will hide in the noise and activities of the city and blend with the population and its normal activities, interactions, and transactions. The enemy the U.S. military faces will constantly become better, smarter, more adaptive, and they will learn to hide and blend with the populace better than they do today. This fact of life implies we must learn and adapt so as to be ahead of them. Both sides race to the future to outwit the other and to seek, find, and sustain the initiative and the advantages its possession enables. These urban OEs will always make it challenging to plan, conduct, and assess outcomes of intelligence operations. Regardless, the urban OE is what our military will face over the next 100 years; therefore, we must adapt and excel. Through advanced analysis the U.S. intelligence analyst learns to know the enemy and his objectives, will, intent, and motives. Through advanced analysis the obscurity and invisibility of the OE become clear and visible. Through the aggressive employment of advanced analysis, analysts know where, how, and when to collect. Through advanced analysis, resultant collection-produced data become usable information, knowledge, and eventually understanding, in time to make a difference in decision-making. Through advanced analysis, U.S. commanders possess the constant wherewithal to win the struggle for the initiative across all domains-- air, ground, sea, space, cyberspace, cognition, and information.