Suchergebnisse

Este trabajo cuantifica el efecto que tiene para las empresas mantener excesiva deuda de corto plazo, cuando se van enfrentadas a incrementos no esperados en el costo de refinación. Utilizando un conjunto de empresas chilenas, para en el período 1994-2003, se muestra que efectivamente las empresas más desfasadas de los vencimientos en términos de madurez, invierten relativamente menos, cuando enfrentan un choque de liquidez, tanto interno como externo. Este efecto es económicamente significativo, y representa una caída cercana a 6% de la inversión promedio de las empresas en la muestra. Además, se encuentra que este efecto no es homogéneo, en particular de las empresas que tienen acceso a los mercados externos, ya sea porque emitan ADR o porque tienen propiedad extranjera, y que son capaces de absorber de mejor manera estos choques.

Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to explore the relationship between six different dimensions of political risk in a country and its spread for a sample of 12 Latin American countries.


Design/methodology/approach
The methodology applied consists of panel estimators with fixed effects. In addition, a panel data model with instrumental variables is considered to tackle with potential problems of endogeneity in the model.


Findings
The results show there is a strong positive relationship between political risk and sovereign spread in Latin America, i.e., greater political risk is associated with greater sovereign spread. This effect is particularly significant when the political risk is associated with a weak rule of law or low-quality regulation in the country.


Research limitations/implications
The main limitation of this study concerns the potential risks of endogeneity which might exist between sovereign risk and political risk measures, which may not have been completely eliminated with the econometric methodology used.


Originality/value
This paper contributes to the literature of sovereign risk by studying the dimension of political risk in detail. Specifically, six dimensions of political risk are studied. Additionally, it provides empirical evidence, including the 2008 financial crisis period, regarding the determinants of spreads on Latin American economies.