Suchergebnisse

One of the areas of the economy affected by the COVID-19 pandemic is the banking sector. The aim of the study presented in the article is to answer the questions: what was the perception of the economic situation in the banking sector in Poland during the crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in the light of the results of business tendency surveys, and what determined its changes over time. The research was carried out on the basis of business tendency surveys conducted by Statistics Poland and Kantar Polska in the years 2004–2021. The conclusions were based on the trend-cycle component obtained by means of the X-13-ARIMA method. The analyses showed a negative relationship between the extent of the pandemic restrictions and the economic activity in banking, especially in the first phase of the crisis. Business tendency surveys show that during this crisis, the economic situation in the banking sector deteriorated more than during the financial crisis of 2008–2009. A relatively sharp decline as well as rapid rebounds were observed in the credit market, which caused its indicators to return in 2021 to the levels recorded before the outbreak of the pandemic. In the initial phase of the crisis, the economic downturn observed in the deposit market was not as sharp as in the credit market. On the other hand, however, the economic situation in the deposit market failed to improve significantly in 2021.

The main aim of the research is to evaluate the variability of prices of selected wood assortments in the Płock Forest District. Prices of eight wood types were analysed according to the rules of time series decomposition using the CENSUS II X-11 method. The cycles length was also evaluated by means of Fourier spectral analysis. Data were obtained from the Płock Forest District and covered the years 2004—2014 on a monthly basis.
On the basis of the conducted study, it was found that wood prices in the Płock Forest District are characterised by a clear share systematic variability which means that a trend and cyclicality can be distinguished. The results of this research have also shown considerable scale of seasonal and accidental fluctuations in wood prices. The analysis of wood prices showed a growing trend for all assortments, while the dynamics of seasonal fluctuations differed depending on the assortment. Significant intensity of random fluctuations was found, which were characterised by high amplitude of deviations.

The aim of this article is to identify and project trends in the development of the non-cash payment market in Poland in terms of the payment cards use. The study was carried out on the basis of data from the European Central Bank (ECB) for EU countries for the years 2000—2014. The space-time analogy method was used.
In Poland, the dynamics of payments by card at POS terminals (in commercial outlets) is higher than the EU average. However, in terms of such measures as the number of payment cards per capita as well as the number of POS terminals and ATMs per 1 million inhabitants, the gap between Poland and the EU average is over 10 years. In Poland, market was similar to 20 EU countries and will maintain development trends at least until 2020.

Posiadacze kredytów mieszkaniowych stanowią ponad 6 proc. indywidualnych klientów banków. W potocznej opinii grupa ta uznawana jest za homogeniczną. Jednak cechy so­cjodemograficzne nie tylko nie wyjaśniają, ale wręcz maskują różnicowane uwarunkowania decyzji podejmowanych przez kredytobiorców mieszkaniowych na rynku finansowym. Czynniki różnicu­jące to profil psychograficzny, postawa wobec ryzyka, wiedza o finansach, przezorność, skłonność do zadłużania się i oszczędzania. Celem badań było wyodrębnienie jednorodnych segmentów po­siadaczy kredytów mieszkaniowych pod względem uwarunkowań decyzji konsumenckich na ryn­ku finansowym. Wyodrębniono pięć homogenicznych grup kredytobiorców mieszkaniowych pod względem uwarunkowań i motywów decyzji na rynku finansowym. Segmentację przeprowadzono z wykorzystaniem modeli klas ukrytych (LCA). Modele klas ukrytych umożliwiły identyfikację podtypów cech powiązanych ze sobą, które w tradycyjnym ujęcie nie są obserwowalne. Badania wykonano metodą CAPI na ogólnopolskiej reprezentatywnej próbie posiadaczy kredytów miesz­kaniowych N=900, z czego N=800 stanowili kredytobiorcy CHF, natomiast N=100 kredytobiorcy PLN. Badania zrealizował TNS Polska w marcu 2014 r. oraz w marcu 2015 r. (druga fala).