NORTHERN STATE GUBERNATORIAL PRIMARY ELECTIONS: EXPLAINING VOTING TURNOUT
In: American politics quarterly, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 101-116
ISSN: 0044-7803
THIS IS A STUDY OF THE VARIABLES AFFECTING TURNOUT OF VOTERS IN NORTHERN STATE GUBERNATORIAL PRIMARIES FROM 1952 TO 1980. THE DEPENDENT VARIABLE IS TURNOUT IN EACH PARTY'S PRIMARY AS A PERCENTAGE OF TURNOUT FOR THAT PARTY IN THE GENERAL ELECTION. TWO OF THE MOST IMPORTANT INDEPENDENT VARIABLES ARE LONG-TERM PATTERNS OF PRIMARY COMPETITION AND TWO-PARTY COMPETITION, SUGGESTING THAT VOTERS DEVELOP HABITUAL PATTERNS OF VOTING IN PRIMARIES. OTHER PREDICTORS OF TURNOUT ARE SHORT-TERM PRIMARY COMPETITION, THE TYPE OF PRIMARY (OPEN OR CLOSED), AND (AMONG REPUBLICANS) PARTY ENDORSEMENT OF CANDIDATES.