Suchergebnisse

In this paper we present a model description of the impact of labor migration on the development of economic systems in countries of migration attraction. It should be emphasized that labor migration is one of the major factors in the development of the labor market. The inflow of migrants into a region should correspond to the labor resources demand of the labor market. To estimate and predict the migration flows between countries with different level of socio-economic development we elaborated a dynamic multi-factor model, which is based on the assumptions of the positional games theory and allows to predict the behavior of each individual, depending on economic factors. According to the model idea, potential migrants have the information on the difference of living and working conditions in both countries of origin and migration attraction. This model takes into account several economic theories of migration and describes the migrant's behavior in terms of migration barriers absence. At the final step of modeling we provide an assessment of migration impact on the development of socio-economic systems in the countries of migration attraction using an approach, which is based on a production function of Cobb-Douglas type. © 2018 ; The research was supported by Act «211 of the Government of the Russian Federation, agreement № 02.A03.21.0006».

In this article we examine the processes of academic potential reproduction, taking into account the main threats from scientific migration. Historically, since the 1990-s the amount of researchers in Russian Federation decreased by 58%. Under these conditions it is necessary to estimate the scale of further scientific migration and the outflow of researchers to other spheres of economy. For this purpose we developed a synthetic construction of dynamic models of labor migration and proportional economic growth with two-level optimization. The basis of this model is presented by the classical problem of optimal investments into capital management, expanded by the control unit of total costs directed to the labor resources. This model construction allows us to describe the migration movement between scientific organizations and institutes, taking into account the difference in working conditions. The pricing mechanism in this model is based on the assumption of organization's output maximization at a fixed cost. As result we obtained a multi-level model for the prediction of scientific personnel migratory flows between organizations. © 2018 ; The research was supported by Act «211 of the Government of the Russian Federation, agreement № 02.A03.21.0006».

The analysis of migration processes shows the need to simulate the dynamics of migration flows, to describe the trends in the redistribution of labor in the current period and to forecast for the short term. To estimate and predict labor migration flows in terms of different levels of the labor markets development we elaborated a dynamic multi-factor migration model. The model takes into account the assumptions of the positional games theory, which allows predicting the behavior of a potential migrant, depending on an amount of socio-economic factors. We emphasize, that labor migration is one of the major factors in the development of the labor markets and in the redistribution of qualified workforce between them. To ensure sustainable development and economic growth of socio-economic systems the inflow of migrants into a region should correspond to the labor resources demand of the labor market. According to the model idea, potential migrants have full information about the difference in living and working conditions both in the countries of origin and attraction of migrants, which allows describing the decision-making process in the model. To improve the predictive accuracy of the model, we developed a method of assessing the migration attractiveness of the region, based on the principle of differentiation of regional economic systems by the level of socio-economic benefits. We obtain the synthetic parameter of the model, describing the migration attractiveness of the region, by combining socio-economic indicators in a relative form, reflecting the degree of development of the social system and the labor market in the region. © 2020 American Institute of Physics Inc. All rights reserved. ; The work was supported by Act 211 Government of the Russian Federation, contract N 02.A03.21.0006.