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Banking on Beijing: The Aims and Impacts of China's Overseas Development Program
In: The China journal: Zhongguo-yanjiu, Band 89, S. 147-148
ISSN: 1835-8535
China's Rise in the Global South: The Middle East, Africa, and Beijing's Alternative World Order Dawn C. Murphy Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 2022 408 pp. $85.00 ISBN 978-1-5036-3009-3
In: The China quarterly, Band 252, S. 1307-1308
ISSN: 1468-2648
China and Africa: The New Era, by Daniel Large. Oxford: Polity Press, 2021. 250 pp. US$64.95 (cloth), US$22.95 (paper), US$18.00 (e-book)
In: The China journal: Zhongguo-yanjiu, Band 88, S. 222-224
ISSN: 1835-8535
"Getting Old Before Getting Rich": Origins and Policy Responses in China
In: China: CIJ ; an international journal, Band 19, Heft 3, S. 91-111
ISSN: 0219-8614
Shaping the Future of Power: Knowledge Production and Network-Building in China–Africa Relations Lina Benabdallah Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 2020 xii + 205 pp. $80.00 ISBN 978-0-472-07454-9
In: The China quarterly, Band 246, S. 609-611
ISSN: 1468-2648
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Working paper
The Economic Demography Transition: Is China's 'Not Rich, First Old' Circumstance a Barrier to Growth?
In: The Australian economic review, Band 52, Heft 4, S. 406-426
ISSN: 1467-8462
AbstractAround 1980 China adopted a reformist economic agenda and a restrictive population policy. China's consequential 'getting old before rich' discourse is herein advanced into the 'economic demography transition' and economic demography matrix (EDM). EDM transition analysis of 182 economies from 1996 to 2016 identifies: i) China to be one of many 'poor‐old' economies; and ii) a majority of countries recently entering the high‐income group were first old. These results question China's 1980 s‐based fears that early demographic transition would stall development and also call for enhanced nuance in understanding economic and demographic change links.
The Economic Demography Transition: Is China's 'Not Rich, First Old' Circumstance a Barrier to Growth?
In: Australian Economic Review, Band 52, Heft 4, S. 406-426
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The Belt and Road Initiative: What is in it for China?
In: Asia & the Pacific policy studies, Band 6, Heft 1, S. 40-58
ISSN: 2050-2680
AbstractChina's outbound investment exceeded inbound investment for the first time in 2015. In years leading up this transition, a maturing demographic transition alongside slowing internal migration and diminishing returns to physical capital investment, all had a role in China's diminished competitiveness in low‐wage manufactured exports and the fading of the related growth model. In that context, the 2013 launch of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) took place in two stages in two developing countries, Kazakhstan and Indonesia. These launch choices, and the BRI in general are herein elaborated in terms of economic history, geography, and demography. The BRI in turn is considered to be aiming to foster the ongoing development of China, and in doing so also seeks to instigate new era development opportunity for other developing countries. One facilitation channel for the latter is China's concept of "patient capital," essentially concessional capital, or foreign aid. For China that offers a means via which to internationalise the financial sector and also the Renminbi. Lessons from China's own use of foreign aid and economic development hence serve as an important reference for ongoing scoping of the shape and trajectory of the BRI. To that end, this article sheds light on what is in the BRI for China.
The Belt and Road Initiative: What Is in It for China?
In: Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies, Band 6, Heft 1
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Where Is the Chinese Economy Going? A Forum on Contemporary Policy and Performance
In: The Australian economic review, Band 50, Heft 4, S. 441-449
ISSN: 1467-8462
AbstractChina adopted a new model of growth from 2011, requiring substantial structural change. This introductory article presents statistical evidence on progress so far. Change generally is in the required direction, but slow. There has been early but slow progress on re‐orienting domestic demand towards consumption; substantial re‐orientation from reliance on exports towards domestic demand; and rapid change at the margin in the energy mix towards low‐emissions sources. Investment in human capital is proceeding rapidly along lines required by the new model. So far, productivity growth has been slow, raising questions about future progress.