Post-Cold War Predictions examines how the international order evolved after the collapse of the Soviet Union by focusing on the ways we study and understand major powers' security behavior within the evolving multipolar order. Kassab summarizes and evaluates influential Post-Cold War texts to better understand scholarship's need to predict.
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"Post-Cold War Predictions examines how the international order evolved after the collapse of the Soviet Union (and before the attacks on 9/11) by focusing on the ways we study and understand major powers' security behavior within the evolving multipolar order. Beginning with an overview of Post-Cold War literature, Kassab summarizes and evaluates influential Post-Cold War texts to better understand scholarship's need to predict. First, he discusses the central importance of power in international relations and drives home the central focus of international structures, linking findings to the broader structure-agent problem. He then reinterprets the purpose of theory, preferring explanatory theories to those that aim to predict outcomes. To understand the context by which political ideas were developed and followed as if they were political ideologies, Hanna Samir Kassab makes explicit the links historicism with historiography, forwarding a new methodology for studying political science: politicist analysis. Using simple jargon and defining terms where necessary, this succinct and enlightening text is required reading for all those interested in in international politics"--
Introduction -- Evolution of the international system since the end of the Cold War -- Rise of geopolitical competition -- Weak and fragile state development and great power domination -- Resource security and the changing international system -- Nationalism and globalization in multipolarity : unraveling of the global order -- Conclusions : the future of power in multipolarity : realist turn.
"Kassab argues that the increase in geopolitical, economic, nationalist, and resource competition between three great powers, the United States, China, and Russia, points to the changing structure of the international system. This competition is a systemic one, focusing more on the rules and norms that defined the system since the end of the Cold War. This American-led unipolar order is translating into a multipolar one. Kassab begins by tracing the decline of the United States after the Iraq War (2003) and the Great Recession (2008) as well as the rise of China and the resurgence of Russia. He describes major foreign policy changes from George H.W. Bush to Donald J. Trump and how the various administrations approached the international system. This explains that while the United States pulls-back from the international system, China and Russia are seeking to increase their influence. Written using simple jargon and defines terms whenever necessary, Globalization, Multipolarity and Great Power Competition is equally accessible to academics and casual readers and lay-people interested in international politics"--
"In this book, Hanna Samir Kassab develops a theoretical framework which explains the formulation of power vacuums and examines their impact on the international system. A power vacuum is the fundamental absence of legitimate state authority over a geographic territory, and it is a space free of governance. With no state authority governing a geographical region, opportunistic states and organized criminal and terrorist networks may attempt to control that space. Using a variety of historical examples and centering his analysis on ungoverned spaces rather than great powers, Kassab uncovers neglected areas of great power competition. Part One discusses State Actors specifically the strategic space of the Arctic, the Middle East and Africa, and Afghanistan and Central Asia. Part Two examines Non-State Actors such as terrorist networks, organized criminal networks, and the formulation of paramilitaries. Power Vacuums and Global Politics is the perfect volume for both undergraduate and graduate courses in international relations, security studies, political science, comparative politics, international political economy and war and peace"--
"Kassab argues that the increase in geopolitical, economic, nationalist, and resource competition between three great powers, the United States, China, and Russia, points to the changing structure of the international system. This competition is a systemic one, focusing more on the rules and norms that defined the system since the end of the Cold War. This American-led unipolar order is translating into a multipolar one. Kassab begins by tracing the decline of the United States after the Iraq War (2003) and the Great Recession (2008) as well as the rise of China and the resurgence of Russia. He describes major foreign policy changes from George H.W. Bush to Donald J. Trump and how the various administrations approached the international system. This explains that while the United States pulls-back from the international system, China and Russia are seeking to increase their influence. Written using simple jargon and defines terms whenever necessary, Globalization, Multipolarity and Great Power Competition is equally accessible to academics and casual readers and lay-people interested in international politics"--
"This book explains the development of the international system's present-day balance of power by exploring three central questions: (1) under what conditions has the international system order evolved from a unipolar system to the current multipolar system? 2) What are its major states? 3) How do weak powers affect great power competition? It puts forward the following hypotheses: 1) if China and Russia are expanding their military, political and economic influence into weaker states globally, then the unipolar American order is unraveling; and 2) if the international system is multipolar, then great power balancing may enhance international security. However, balancing may be made difficult due to weak state aid-seeking behavior. When weak states engage competing great powers, they become spheres of competition. This book delves into these states. Whether in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Central Asia, East Asia or Eastern Europe, great powers hope to establish some control over weaker units for security, economic and at times, prestige purposes. This book will be of interest to students and scholars of political science and IR, security studies, and IPE, as well as members of the think tank community and policy analysts"--
"This book explains the development of the international system's present-day balance of power by exploring three central questions: (1) under what conditions has the international system order evolved from a unipolar system to the current multipolar system? 2) What are its major states? 3) How do weak powers affect great power competition? It puts forward the following hypotheses: 1) if China and Russia are expanding their military, political and economic influence into weaker states globally, then the unipolar American order is unraveling; and 2) if the international system is multipolar, then great power balancing may enhance international security. However, balancing may be made difficult due to weak state aid-seeking behavior. When weak states engage competing great powers, they become spheres of competition. This book delves into these states. Whether in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Central Asia, East Asia or Eastern Europe, great powers hope to establish some control over weaker units for security, economic and at times, prestige purposes. This book will be of interest to students and scholars of political science and IR, security studies, and IPE, as well as members of the think tank community and policy analysts"--
Intro -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Chapter 1: Introduction -- Theoretical Framework: Research Design and Hypothesis Testing -- Overview -- Theoretical Framework -- Theory Building -- Hypothesis and Variables -- Theoretical Expectation and Potential Predictability -- Chapter Outline -- Conclusions -- References -- Part I: Theory Building -- Chapter 2: Grand Strategies of States in Anarchy: Prestige and Self-Determination -- Introduction -- Grand Strategies Defined -- Grand Strategies of States Great and Weak -- Balance of Power and Prestige -- Playing the Field: Weak State Grand Strategy -- Game of Go International System Explained -- Transactions Between Great Powers and Weak States: A Key Systemic-Creating Force -- Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 3: Balance of World-Systems and Neoempire -- World-Systems and the Network of Elites, the Psychopaths of Neoempire -- Wealth Makes Power, Power Makes Wealth: Neoempire Development -- Classical Empire and Neoempire Compared -- Classical Empire -- Neoempire: United States and Soviet Union During the Cold War -- Why Hegemony Is an Incomplete Concept -- Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 4: Systems-Creation and Competition -- Introduction -- The Structure of the International System: Transactions Between Grand Strategies -- Structures -- Units -- Transactions -- Synthesis -- Systemic Practice and the Diffusion of Psychopathy -- Putting the Pieces Back Together: The International System Redefined -- Conclusions -- References -- Part II: Case Studies -- Chapter 5: The Global South and the Neoempires of the United States and China -- Introduction -- Battle of the Banks: Global Political Infrastructure and Neoempire -- New Development Bank and Coal: Finance, Energy, and Neoempire1 -- Chinese Neoempire: Competing Against the United States
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Grand strategies can be thought of as overall survival strategies of states of all states. Great powers seek survival against other great powers seeking to undermine their power, position determining prestige-seeking behavior as psychotic and destructive. Weak states suffer from systemic vulnerabilities and trade whatever political power they have to a great power for economic assistance. If enough weak states support a particular great power, then that great power will become more powerful relative to competitors. This forms an international system fashioned by these transactions. Hanna Samir Kassab is Assistant Professor at Northern Michigan University, USA.--
This book studies systemic vulnerabilities and their impact on states and individual survival. The author theorizes that the structure of the international system is a product of the distribution of capabilities and vulnerabilities across states. States function or behave in terms of these systemic threats. The author examines a number of specific case-studies focusing on military, economic, environmental, political and cyber vulnerabilities, and how different states are impacted by them. Arguing that current attempts to securitize these vulnerabilities through defensive foreign policies are largely failing, the books makes the case for prioritizing economic development and human security
This book studies systemic vulnerabilities and their impact on states and individual survival. The author theorizes that the structure of the international system is a product of the distribution of capabilities and vulnerabilities across states. States function or behave in terms of these systemic threats. The author examines a number of specific case-studies focusing on military, economic, environmental, political and cyber vulnerabilities, and how different states are impacted by them. Arguing that current attempts to securitize these vulnerabilities through defensive foreign policies are largely failing, the books makes the case for prioritizing economic development and human security.
This book defines political ideology as a structural force that combines ideas, emotion, and people for the purpose of transforming political discourse. It advances a theoretical proposition concerning the creation of alternative modes of governance and proposes a general theory explains the reasons for the creation of political ideologies as an escape from perceived injustice. The theory also explains democracy's success and the failure of Communism and the Fascism. The purpose of any political ideology, whether Democracy, Fascism (and its varieties), or Communism, is to escape human suffering by combining ideas, emotion, and people in the production of fundamental societal change. Ideologies must possess these three variables to attain the necessary power to succeed as a political force. Power gives the ideology the structural ability to transform society, trapping the once free individual into the ideology. Hanna Samir Kassab is Visiting Assistant Professor of Political Science at Northern Michigan University, USA. He is the author of Weak States in International Relations Theory: The Cases of Armenia, St. Kitts and Nevis, Lebanon, and Cambodia (2015). He is also the co-editor and author of Reconceptualizing Security in the Americas in the Twenty-First Century (2015). He has published articles on International Relations Theory, National Security, politics of the Far-right and Nationalism, acts of Political Suicide, and Foreign Policy.
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