Suchergebnisse

This is the author accepted manuscript. ; It is a classical argument that how parties are born affects the way they die. However, few studies have theorized and rigorously estimated the impact of central formative features on the risk of organizational death over the course of parties' entire lifespan. Using a life cycle perspective, we theorize how and when party mortality is shaped by four formative features constituting parties' heritage: insider status, societal rootedness, ideological novelty, and roots in pre-existing parties. We fit a state-space competing risks model to a new dataset covering 204 party trajectories in 22 consolidated democracies to assess the dynamic influence of these formative features on two distinct types of death: dissolution and merger. Our flexible approach to modelling time dependency outperforms conventional methods and generates novel insights about the time-varying relationship between party heritage and mortality fundamental to whether party renewal is likely to enhance democracies' representative capacity.

This is the final publication. Available on open access from SAGE publications via the DOI in this record ; This paper examines the influence of party change on party-level legislative turnover. Analyzing a novel dataset tracking 251 parties in eight West European democracies between 1945 and 2015, we assess how transformational party events affect the renewal of parties' parliamentary delegations. Transformational party events refer to party changes resulting from deliberate strategic decisions that redistribute power within parties, change their identity, and/or shift alliances within and between them. We focus in particular on changes in parties' leadership and name, the formation of electoral cartels, mergers and divisions, applying empirical methods suitable for dealing with fractional outcomes and multi-level data to test their impact on turnover rates. Our estimates indicate that leadership change is a key determinant of MP renewal, leading to systematically higher rates of legislative turnover. Party relabeling and divisions affect turnover as well, although their influence is contingent on other characteristics of the parties and their environment. ; Research Foundation Flanders