Suchergebnisse

Introduction. In today's world of globalization of economic activity and liberalization of inter-regional and intra-regional trade, development and definition of promising directions of foreign trade relations, expansion of markets and diversification of sources of supply are of the utmost importance for most countries.For Ukraine, intra-regional cooperation remains one of the most promising and important areas of foreign trade relations. This is confirmed by the fact that exports of goods and services in 2018 European countries amounted to $ 26411.02 million or 55.7% of total exports. Imports of goods and services in 2018 from European countries amounted to $ 37056.07 million or 65% of total imports. Despite the fact that absolute export and import indicators in 2018 show a negative trend in view of the prolonged volatile political situation in the country, relative indicators continue to grow after the sharp decline of 2015 and are almost at the same level as before the war period. As a result, foreign trade relations with European countries are of great importance for Ukraine, contributing to the need for a thorough study, given the current trends in regional economic development.Purpose. Тo determine the effect of trade volumes with the countries of the European region on the GDP of Ukraine using correlation-regression analysis.Results. In the course of expansion of world integration processes, far-reaching directions of research are elaboration of attractive directions of foreign trade activity of Ukraine within the framework of intra-regional trade activity. The correlation-regression analysis showed that France is the most attractive country for selling Ukrainian products, because if export increases by 1% of Ukraine's GDP it will grow by 1.12%. With increased exports to countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom and Russia, GDP fluctuations will be small but positive. Despite the geographical neighborhood with Poland, increasing exports to the country will help to reduce GDP by 0.2%. However, it we have on increase in imports of goods from Poland, Ukraine's GDP will increase by 0.65%. A slight increase in imports are goods from Russia and Germany implies a slight increase in GDP of Ukraine. Originary. Despite the considerable amount of work of both foreign and domestic scientists on this issue, it should be noted that the issues of impact of trade relations of Ukraine with the countries of the region on the domestic economy and GDP are still poorly understood.Conclusions. In the article it is proved that for the study of impact of trade of Ukraine with the countries of the region on the general level of economic development it is efficient to use multifactor econometric models. The results show that Ukraine's GDP is significantly dependent on the dynamics of intra-regional trade in the European region. This is explained by the fact that a significant share of export-import operations in the total volume of international trade of Ukraine falls precisely in the countries of this region. Close interaction within the European region, relative proximity to domestic markets impact the need to intensify Ukraine's foreign economic relations with European countries, provided that targeted trade policy is improved.

Introduction. The process of Ukraine's integration into the European Union is one of the most significant phenomena of recent decades. The essence of the European integration choice of the Ukrainian state is determined by the existence of close political, historical and cultural ties.Purpose is to determine the prospects for Ukraine's integration into the European economic area.Methods. In the course of the study were used: analysis and synthesis, comparative analysis, correlation-regression analysis, gravity model etc.Results. The article reveals the significance and stages of Ukraine's integration into the European Union. In addition to this, the economic development of Ukraine in the process of integration was explored. The main economic indicators of Ukraine were analyzed using correlation-regression analysis and the relationship between Ukraine's GDP, exports, gross capital formation, increase in domestic debt and inflation was established. The investment activity of Ukraine with the EU countries is analyzed, it is established that with the increase of indebtedness, inflation and the hryvnia exchange rate to the dollar, the volume of investments will decrease. The gravitational model of international trade of Ukraine with the EU countries is investigated, the relationship between the level of economic development of European countries and the foreign trade of Ukraine, as well as the dependence of the foreign trade relations between the EU and Ukraine on the distance between their centers was shown. The analysis of the correlation of the stock index of Ukraine with European countries is carried out. It is established that there is a close relationship between the stock index of Ukraine and countries that have recently joined the European Union, such as Poland, the Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania. This indicates the possibility of approaching the Ukrainian stock market to the European one.Originality. For the first time, Ukraine's integration into the European economic area was studied on the basis of economic-mathematical models of GDP, investment, international trade and stock index.Conclusion. With the help of the conducted research, as a result of the European integration of Ukraine, it is possible to determine: the growth of the country's economy, the improvement of investment activity, the introduction of new technologies and technology into the Ukrainian industry, the release of Ukrainian goods and services to the European market, the development of the Ukrainian stock market and attraction to Powerful European companies.