Do Welfare States Reduce Poverty? A Critical Shortcoming in the Standard Analysis of the Anti-Poverty Effect of Welfare States
In: European journal of social security, Band 3, Heft 1, S. 25-44
ISSN: 2399-2948
A standard analysis of the anti-poverty effect of taxes and income transfers is to compare pre-tax-transfer poverty and post-tax-transfer poverty. A critical shortcoming of the standard approach is that it treats pre-tax-transfer poverty as given and ignores the potential effects of taxes and transfers on pre-tax-transfer poverty. Analysing cross-national variations, this study examines the potential endogeniety of pre-tax-transfer poverty. The results suggest that both the generosity and efficiency of the tax/transfer system may influence levels of pre-tax-transfer poverty. If this is true, the standard approach overestimates the anti-poverty effectiveness of generous and/or targeted welfare systems.