Klimaauswirkungen und Anpassung in Deutschland: Phase 1: Erstellung regionaler Klimaszenarien für Deutschland
In: Climate change 2008,11
In: UBA-FB 969
6 Ergebnisse
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In: Climate change 2008,11
In: UBA-FB 969
The search for renormalization group invariant relations among parameters to all orders in perturbation theory constitutes the basis of the reduction of couplings concept. Reduction of couplings can be achieved in certain N=1 supersymmetric grand unified theories and few of them can become even finite at all loops. We review the basic idea, the tools that have been developed as well as the resulting theories in which successful reduction of couplings has been achieved so far. These include: (i) a reduced version of the minimal N=1 SU(5) model, (ii) an all-loop finite N=1 SU(5) model, (iii) a two-loop finite N=1 SU(3)3 model and finally (vi) a reduced version of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model. In this paper we present a number of benchmark scenarios for each model and investigate their observability at existing and future hadron colliders. The heavy supersymmetric spectra featured by each of the above models are found to be beyond the reach of the 14 TeV HL-LHC. It is also found that the reduced version of the MSSM is already ruled out by the LHC searches for heavy neutral MSSM Higgs bosons. In turn the discovery potential of the 100 TeV FCC-hh is investigated and found that large parts of the predicted spectrum of these models can be tested, but the higher mass regions are beyond the reach even of the FCC-hh. ; Funded by SCOAP3. ; GZ thanks the ITP of Heidelberg, MPI Munich, CERN Department of Theoretical Physics, IFT Madrid and MPI-AEI for their hospitality. The work of SH is supported in part by the MEINCOP Spain under Contract FPA2016-78022-P and and under Contract PID2019-110058GB-C21, in part by the Spanish Agencia Estatal de Investigación (AEI), the EU Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER) through the project FPA2016-78645-P, in part by the "Spanish Red Consolider MultiDark" FPA2017-90566-REDC, and in part by the AEI through the Grant IFT Centro de Excelencia Severo Ochoa SEV-2016-0597. The work of MM is partly supported by UNAM PAPIIT through Grant IN111518. The work of GP, NT and GZ is partially supported by the COST action CA16201, GZ is also partially supported by the Grant DEC-2018/31/B/ST2/02283 of NSC, Poland. GZ has been supported within the Excellence Initiative funded by the German and State Governments, at the Institute for Theoretical Physics, Heidelberg University and from the Excellence Grant Enigmass of LAPTh. The work of JK and WK has been supported b the National Science Centre, Poland, the HARMONIA project under contract UMO-2015/18/M/ST2/00518 (2016-2020). ; Peer reviewed
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Existing heat?health warning systems focus on warning vulnerable groups in order to reduce mortality. However, human health and performance are affected at much lower environmental heat strain levels than those directly associated with higher mortality. Moreover, workers are at elevated health risks when exposed to prolonged heat. This study describes the multilingual ?HEAT-SHIELD occupational warning system? platform (https://heatshield.zonalab.it/) operating for Europe and developed within the framework of the HEAT-SHIELD project. This system is based on probabilistic medium-range forecasts calibrated on approximately 1800 meteorological stations in Europe and provides the ensemble forecast of the daily maximum heat stress. The platform provides a non-customized output represented by a map showing the weekly maximum probability of exceeding a specific heat stress condition, for each of the four upcoming weeks. Customized output allows the forecast of the personalized local heat-stress-risk based on workers? physical, clothing and behavioral characteristics and the work environment (outdoors in the sun or shade), also taking into account heat acclimatization. Personal daily heat stress risk levels and behavioral suggestions (hydration and work breaks recommended) to be taken into consideration in the short term (5 days) are provided together with long-term heat risk forecasts (up to 46 days), all which are useful for planning work activities. The HEAT-SHIELD platform provides adaptation strategies for ?managing? the impact of global warming ; Financial support for this work is provided by the HEAT-SHIELD Project (HORIZON 2020, research and innovation programme under the grant agreement 668786). L.N and B.R.M.K were also supported by the ClimApp project coordinated via ERA4CS (European Research for Climate Service) and funded by FORMAS (SWE), IFD (DK), NWO (NL) with co-funding from the European Union (grant agreement 690462).
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In: Morris , N B , Piil , J F , Morabito , M , Messeri , A , Levi , M , Ioannou , L , Ciuha , U , Pogačar , T , Kajfež Bogataj , L , Kingma , B , Casanueva , A , Kotlarski , S , Spirig , C , Foster , J , Havenith , G , Sotto Mayor , T , Flouris , A D & Nybo , L 2021 , ' The HEAT-SHIELD project - Perspectives from an inter-sectoral approach to occupational heat stress ' , Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport , vol. 24 , no. 8 , pp. 747-755 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsams.2021.03.001
Objectives: To provide perspectives from the HEAT-SHIELD project (www.heat-shield.eu): a multi-national, inter-sectoral, and cross-disciplinary initiative, incorporating twenty European research institutions, as well as occupational health and industrial partners, on solutions to combat negative health and productivity effects caused by working on a warmer world. Methods: In this invited review, we focus on the theoretical and methodological advancements developed to combat occupational heat stress during the last five years of operation. Results: We outline how we created climate forecast models to incorporate humidity, wind and solar radiation to the traditional temperature-based climate projections, providing the basis for timely, policy-relevant, industry-specific and individualized information. Further, we summarise the industry-specific guidelines we developed regarding technical and biophysical cooling solutions considering effectiveness, cost, sustainability, and the practical implementation potential in outdoor and indoor settings, in addition to field-testing of selected solutions with time-motion analyses and biophysical evaluations. All recommendations were adjusted following feedback from workshops with employers, employees, safety officers, and adjacent stakeholders such as local or national health policy makers. The cross-scientific approach was also used for providing policy-relevant information based on socioeconomic analyses and identification of vulnerable regions considered to be more relevant for political actions than average continental recommendations and interventions. Discussion: From the HEAT-SHIELD experiences developed within European settings, we discuss how this inter-sectoral approach may be adopted or translated into actionable knowledge across continents where workers and societies are affected by escalating environmental temperatures.
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Objectives: To provide perspectives from the HEAT-SHIELD project (www.heat-shield.eu): a multinational, inter-sectoral, and cross-disciplinary initiative, incorporating twenty European research institutions, as well as occupational health and industrial partners, on solutions to combat negative health and productivity effects caused by working on a warmer world. Methods: In this invited review, we focus on the theoretical and methodological advancements developed to combat occupational heat stress during the last five years of operation. Results: We outline how we created climate forecast models to incorporate humidity, wind and solar radiation to the traditional temperature-based climate projections, providing the basis for timely, policy-relevant, industry-specific and individualized information. Further, we summarise the industry-specific guidelines we developed regarding technical and biophysical cooling solutions considering effectiveness, cost, sustainability, and the practical implementation potential in outdoor and indoor settings, in addition to field-testing of selected solutions with time-motion analyses and biophysical evaluations. All recommendations were adjusted following feedback from workshops with employers, employees, safety officers, and adjacent stakeholders such as local or national health policy makers. The cross-scientific approach was also used for providing policy-relevant information based on socioeconomic analyses and identification of vulnerable regions considered to be more relevant for political actions than average continental recommendations and interventions. Discussion: From the HEAT-SHIELD experiences developed within European settings, we discuss how this inter-sectoral approach may be adopted or translated into actionable knowledge across continents where workers and societies are affected by escalating environmental temperatures. ; The study has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under the grant agreement No 668786
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To make sound decisions in the face of climate change, government agencies, policymakers and private stakeholders require suitable climate information on local to regional scales. In Switzerland, the development of climate change scenarios is strongly linked to the climate adaptation strategy of the Confederation. The current climate scenarios for Switzerland CH2018 - released in form of six user-oriented products - were the result of an intensive collaboration between academia and administration under the umbrella of the National Centre for Climate Services (NCCS), accounting for user needs and stakeholder dialogues from the beginning. A rigorous scientific concept ensured consistency throughout the various analysis steps of the EURO-CORDEX projections and a common procedure on how to extract robust results and deal with associated uncertainties. The main results show that Switzerland's climate will face dry summers, heavy precipitation, more hot days and snow-scarce winters. Approximately half of these changes could be alleviated by mid-century through strong global mitigation efforts. A comprehensive communication concept ensured that the results were rolled out and distilled in specific user-oriented communication measures to increase their uptake and to make them actionable. A narrative approach with four fictitious persons was used to communicate the key messages to the general public. Three years after the release, the climate scenarios have proven to be an indispensable information basis for users in climate adaptation and for downstream applications. Potential for extensions and updates has been identified since then and will shape the concept and planning of the next scenario generation in Switzerland. ; Climate Scenarios for Switzerland CH2018 – Approach and Implications ; publishedVersion
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