Exploring judgemental forecasting
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 8, Heft 1, S. 15-26
ISSN: 0169-2070
33 Ergebnisse
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 8, Heft 1, S. 15-26
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 7, Heft 4, S. 413-420
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: 11 Touro Journal of Race, Gender, and Ethnicity 18 (2022)
SSRN
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 27, Heft 1, S. 50-68
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Decision sciences, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 213-238
ISSN: 1540-5915
ABSTRACTForecasts are important components of information systems. They provide a means for knowledge sharing and thus have significant decision‐making impact. In many organizations, it is quite common for forecast users to receive predictions that have previously been adjusted by providers or other users of forecasts. Current work investigates some of the factors that may influence the size and propensity of further adjustments on already‐adjusted forecasts. Two studies are reported that focus on the potential effects of adjustment framing (Study 1) and the availability of explanations and/or original forecasts alongside the adjusted forecasts (Study 2). Study 1 provides evidence that the interval forecasts that are labeled as "adjusted" are modified less than the so‐called "original/unadjusted" predictions. Study 2 suggests that the provision of original forecasts and the presence of explanations accompanying the adjusted forecasts serve as significant factors shaping the size and propensity of further modifications. Findings of both studies highlight the importance of forecasting format and user perceptions with critical organizational repercussions.
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 1-8
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 3-23
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 32-34
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 23, Heft 3, S. 391-404
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 22, Heft 3, S. 493-518
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 10, Heft 1, S. 151-159
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 1, Heft 1, S. 25-35
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Development dialogue, Heft 2, S. 147-174
ISSN: 0345-2328
World Affairs Online
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 23, Heft 3, S. 377-390
ISSN: 0169-2070
SSRN