Suchergebnisse

Korea, one of the original 'Tiger Economies', experiences a traumatic and largely unanticipated economic crisis in 1997-98 from which the country is still recovering. Despite having achieved spectacular economic advances from the early 1960s, the crisis laid bare numerous structural, economic and policy weaknesses. Charles Harvie and Hyun-Hoon Lee chronicle and analyze the key factors behind Korea's economic miracle from 1962-1989 and the causes that contributed to the economic downturn and ensuing crisis of 1997-98. Is the Korean economy still fading or is its revival underway? As the country undertakes a series of recovery measures, the authors consider the importance of the ongoing restructuring efforts in the corporate and banking sectors, the development of the 'new economy; and the potential economic advantages to be derived from reunification with the North.

During 1962–1989, South Korea underwent a remarkable economic transformation from being poverty‐ridden to attaining the status of newly industrialised nation. This transformation was achieved through the adoption of an outward‐oriented, industry‐led strategy. It was based, particularly during the 1970s, upon the development of large‐scale industrial conglomerates and the attainment of economies of scale and technology to achieve international competitiveness. By the early 1980s, this strategy had resulted in major structural imbalances, a weakened financial sector, heavy concentration in domestic markets, and a repressed development of small and medium enterprises. By the end of the 1980s, despite attempts at economic reform, the structural and financial problems remained and became the country's undoing during the crisis of 1997–1998. This article reviews the question whether Korea's performance during this period can be described as an economic miracle. The empirical evidence is mixed and inconclusive, although the achievements of the Korean economy should not be underestimated.

High and volatile food prices pose a significant policy challenge around the world, and an understanding of the dynamics of food price inflation and volatility is essential in designing appropriate policy responses. Using the panel data for 72 countries from 2000 to 2011, the paper assesses the international transmission of food price inflation and volatilities as well as the effects of various internal and external factors on domestic food price inflation and volatility. The paper offers evidence in support of the international transmission of food price inflation and volatility. Specifically, the paper finds that the domestic food price inflation in Asia is strongly associated with the lagged value of global food price inflation (using the FAO food price index), while volatility spillovers from global to domestic food prices are rather contemporaneous. The paper also finds that both national food price inflation rates and volatilities are strongly associated with both intra- and extra- regional food price inflation rates and volatilities, respectively. The findings also suggest that higher economic growth rates, greater shares of food in merchandise imports, and smaller increases in the share of food in merchandise imports lead to lower domestic food price inflation. An appreciation of local currency, greater political stability, and higher income level are also found to lower domestic food price inflation. On the other hand, higher economic growth rates lead to lower volatilities of food prices.

A strand of theoretical and empirical evidence in the literature suggests non‐linearity in the output‐inflation relationship, viz. a non‐linear Phillips curve. We develop a VAR model of output, inflation, and terms of trade augmented with logistic smooth transition autoregression specifications. Empirically, the model captures non‐linear features present in the data. Output costs of reducing inflation vary, depending on the economy, size of inflation change, and whether policy makers seek to disinflate or prevent inflation from rising. Thus, inferences based on the conventional linear Phillips curve may provide misleading signals about the cost of lowering inflation and the appropriate policy stance. JEL Classification: C32, E52 Le coût asymétrique en termes de production de la réduction de l'inflation: résultats pour le Canada. Ce mémoire a son origine dans les travaux qui suggèrent une certaine non linéarité dans la relation production‐inflation i.e. une courbe de Phillips qui serait non‐linéaire. Les auteurs utilisent un modèle VAR de la production, de l'inflation et des termes d'échange, enrichi de spécifications autogressives définissant une transition logistique souple. Il appert que les coûts en termes de perte de production de la réduction de l'inflation varient grandement selon l'état de l'économie, la taille des changements recherchés dans le taux d'inflation, et selon que les autorités cherchent créer une déflation ou simplement à empêcher l'accélération de l'inflation. Voilà qui implique que les inférences tirées d'un modèle construit sur la courbe linéaire traditionnelle de Phillips peuvent fournir des signaux trompeurs quant aux coûts de la réduction de l'inflation et suggérer de mauvaises politiques.

Intro -- Contents -- List of Tables -- List of Figures -- Acknowledgements -- Notes on the Contributors -- List of Abbreviations -- 1. Introduction -- Part I. Development of Intra-Industry Theory and Measurement -- 2. Controversies Concerning Intra-Industry Trade -- Part II. Models of Intra-Industry Trade -- 3. Horizontal Intra-Industry Trade and the Growth of International Trade -- 4. Intra-Industry Trade in Homogeneous Products -- 5. Fragmentation and Intra-Industry Trade -- 6. The Geography of Intra-Industry Trade -- Part III. Empirical Studies and Policy Issues of Intra-Industry Trade -- 7. Marginal Intra-Industry Trade:Towards a Measure of Non-Disruptive Trade Expansion -- 8. Long-term Trends in Intra-Industry Trade -- 9. Intra-Industry Trade in Services -- 10. Intra-Industry Trade and the C-H-O Model: Evidence and Implications for Adjustments -- Part IV. Intra-Industry Trade, Affiliate Production and FDI -- 11. A Unified Approach to Intra-Industry Trade and Foreign Direct Investment -- 12. Factor Endowments and Intra-Industry Affiliate Production by Multinational Enterprises -- 13. Globalization and Intra-Firm Trade: Further Evidence -- 14. Intra-Industry Trade in Assets -- Author Index -- Subject Index.

In this paper, we examine the role of export promotion agencies (EPAs) in promoting exports from Japan and Korea. Looking at two home countries enables us to tackle endogeneity issues by controlling for both country‐pair time‐invariant characteristics and importing‐country time‐varying characteristics. Our empirical results indicate that EPA has a positive and significant effect on exports even when we control for endogeneity. However, the size of the effect becomes substantially smaller, implying the importance of addressing endogeneity in accurately measuring the impact of EPA on exports. In addition, we find that EPA's (marginal) effects are larger in exporting to low‐income trade partners than in exporting to high‐income trade partners.

Using the overall FDI inflows for 89 countries during the period from 1985 to 2007, we empirically investigate the effects on inward FDI of various components of political and financial risk. We examine the effects of not only the level of these risks but also their changes over time. One of the major findings is that among the political and financial risks, only the political risk is adversely associated with FDI inflows. Specifically, not only the initially low level of political risk, but also a decrease in the level of political risk helps to bring a greater amount of FDI inflows. On the other hand, lower financial risk does not attract FDI inflows, especially to developing countries. Among the various components of political risk, in the sample of developing countries only, it is found that internal conflict, corruption, military in politics, and bureaucracy quality are inversely related to inward FDI flows.