Teaching Forecasting Without Teaching Methods
In: Journal of political science education, Band 19, Heft 2, S. 185-194
ISSN: 1551-2177
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In: Journal of political science education, Band 19, Heft 2, S. 185-194
ISSN: 1551-2177
In: Political studies: the journal of the Political Studies Association of the United Kingdom, Band 67, Heft 1, S. 171-190
ISSN: 1467-9248
When casting a split-ticket ballot, voters in established democracies have strong political predispositions and electoral experience that influence their decision. However, voters in a new democracy, lacking long-term party attachment and experience with democracy, may instead be informed and motivated by their social networks. Using the 1990 Cross-National Election Project German Unification study, I examine which factors predict split-ticket voting for East and West Germans. I find that political disagreement within a social network is more influential for East Germans, while partisan predispositions, particularly party supporter type, play a greater role for West Germans. These findings indicate that, in absence of competition between long-term partisanship and democratic experience, network characteristics may have a profound impact on political decision-making.
In: Political Networks Workshops & Conference 2015
SSRN
Working paper
In: Western Political Science Association 2010 Annual Meeting Paper
SSRN
Working paper
In: European journal of political research: official journal of the European Consortium for Political Research, Band 54, Heft 3, S. 543-562
ISSN: 1475-6765
AbstractIn recent studies, scholars have highlighted factors that influence citizen satisfaction with democracy, with particular emphasis on the role played by the institutional features of political systems, and ideology. This article presents the first empirical study of whether changes in important party characteristics can affect individuals' satisfaction with democracy. Using a measure of parties' character‐valence derived from content analysis of news reports, evidence is presented that when governing parties' images decline with respect to important valence‐related attributes such as competence, unity and integrity, then citizen satisfaction with democracy similarly declines. However, this relationship is conditional on the performance of opposition parties. These findings are relevant to studies of regime support, political representation, democratic accountability and voter behaviour.
In: European journal of political research: official journal of the European Consortium for Political Research, Band 54, Heft 3, S. 543-562
ISSN: 0304-4130
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 47, Heft 2, S. 171-202
ISSN: 1552-3829
Previous empirical research has found evidence suggesting that the character-based valence attributes of parties, such as competence and integrity, can have notable effects of levels of electoral support (Clark, 2009; Mondak, 1995). A related strand of literature analyzes the importance of parties' policy positions. In this study, we bring together research on valence and party dispersion to examine whether the ideological dispersion of parties in a party system mediates the electoral impact of valence. We perform empirical analyses covering nine Western European countries over the period 1976 to 2003, and test the hypothesis that when parties are more ideologically proximate to the mean voter position, character-based valence attributes will be of greater significance in determining parties' electoral fortunes. Surprisingly, we find no support for this hypothesis. Instead, our analyses suggest that the more ideologically dispersed parties are, the more likely it is that character-based valence attributes will affect parties' vote shares. [Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications Inc., copyright holder.]
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 47, Heft 2, S. 171-202
ISSN: 0010-4140
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 47, Heft 2, S. 171-202
ISSN: 1552-3829
Previous empirical research has found evidence suggesting that the character-based valence attributes of parties, such as competence and integrity, can have notable effects of levels of electoral support (Clark, 2009; Mondak, 1995). A related strand of literature analyzes the importance of parties' policy positions. In this study, we bring together research on valence and party dispersion to examine whether the ideological dispersion of parties in a party system mediates the electoral impact of valence. We perform empirical analyses covering nine Western European countries over the period 1976 to 2003, and test the hypothesis that when parties are more ideologically proximate to the mean voter position, character-based valence attributes will be of greater significance in determining parties' electoral fortunes. Surprisingly, we find no support for this hypothesis. Instead, our analyses suggest that the more ideologically dispersed parties are, the more likely it is that character-based valence attributes will affect parties' vote shares.
In: Politics, Groups, and Identities, Band 11, Heft 3, S. 571-599
ISSN: 2156-5511
In: Politics & gender, Band 16, Heft 4, S. 983-990
ISSN: 1743-9248
AbstractThe United States has the highest number of COVID-19 cases, yet many Americans have responded indifferently toward policies designed to combat the spread of the virus. While nearly all 50 states have implemented some type of stay-at-home policy to encourage social distancing, there has been high variation in the degree of compliance. We argue that this variance is partly driven by gender resentment. Gender resentment reduces trust in female political leaders and thus decreases compliance with government policy and recommendations. Using data from SafeGraph and the 2016 American National Election Study, we demonstrate that the effect of stay-at-home policies on social distancing is reduced when gender resentment increases in states with female leaders. However, when gender resentment is low, there is no difference in the effect of policies on behavior. This research has important implications for understanding unseen barriers that can mediate the efficacy of female political leaders.
In: Social science quarterly, Band 102, Heft 5, S. 2435-2451
ISSN: 1540-6237
AbstractObjectiveThis study investigates the degree to which social connections and social context shape attitudes and behaviors surrounding the COVID‐19 pandemic in the United States.MethodsIn April and August 2020, we surveyed Americans about their social context and asked a range of questions related to the coronavirus and social distancing.ResultsSocial crowding, social networks, and social context are related to support for social distancing policies and compliance with those policies.ConclusionThe coronavirus pandemic created hardships; hardships made more difficult by the inability to physically interact with extended family and friends and the inability to find space away from immediate family. This research suggests that understanding compliance with public policies requires attention to interpersonal connections.
In: West European politics, Band 35, Heft 6, S. 1272-1294
ISSN: 1743-9655
In: West European politics, Band 35, Heft 6, S. 1272-1294
ISSN: 0140-2382
World Affairs Online
In: Electoral Studies, Band 63, S. 102115