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The behavioralist goes to school: leveraging behavioral economics to improve educational performance
In: Discussion paper 12-038
In: Labour economics, human resources and social policy
The role of skill versus luck in poker: evidence from the world series of poker
In: NBER working paper series 17023
"In determining the legality of online poker - a multibillion dollar industry - courts have relied heavily on the issue of whether or not poker is a game of skill. Using newly available data, we analyze that question by examining the performance in the 2010 World Series of Poker of a group of poker players identified as being highly skilled prior to the start of the events. Those players identified a priori as being highly skilled achieved an average return on investment of over 30 percent, compared to a -15 percent for all other players. This large gap in returns is strong evidence in support of the idea that poker is a game of skill"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site
Evidence that seat belts are as effective as child safety seats in preventing death for children aged two and up
In: NBER working paper series 11591
Testing theories of discrimination: evidence from weakest link
In: NBER working paper series 9449
How do markets function?: an empirical analysis of gambling on the National Football League
In: Working paper series 9422
The Economics of Crime
In: Journal of political economy, Band 125, Heft 6, S. 1920-1925
ISSN: 1537-534X
Bagels and donuts for sale: A case study in profit maximization
In: Research in economics: Ricerche economiche, Band 70, Heft 4, S. 518-535
ISSN: 1090-9451
Heads or Tails: The Impact of a Coin Toss on Major Life Decisions and Subsequent Happiness
In: NBER Working Paper No. w22487
SSRN
Working paper
Identifying Terrorists using Banking Data
In: The B.E. journal of economic analysis & policy, Band 13, Heft 3
ISSN: 1935-1682
Abstract
The fight against terrorism requires identifying potential terrorists before they have the opportunity to act. In this paper, we investigate the extent to which retail banking data – which as far as we know are not currently used by anti-terror intelligence agencies in any systematic manner – are a useful tool in identifying terrorists. Using detailed administrative records of a large British bank, we demonstrate that a number of variables in the data are strongly correlated with terrorism-related activities. Having both an Islamic given name and surname, not surprisingly, are among the strongest of these predictors, but a wide range of other demographic characteristics and behaviors observed in the data are also correlated strongly with terrorist involvement. The real key to our method, however, rests on the identification of one particular pattern of banking behavior (what we call "Variable Z") which dramatically improves our ability to identify terrorists. Our model is demonstrated to have substantial power to identify terrorists both within sample and out of sample.
White-Collar Crime Writ Small: A Case Study of Bagels, Donuts, and the Honor System
In: American economic review, Band 96, Heft 2, S. 290-294
ISSN: 1944-7981
An Economist Sells Bagels: A Case Study in Profit Maximization
In: NBER Working Paper No. w12152
SSRN
Why are Gambling Markets Organised so Differently from Financial Markets?
In: The economic journal: the journal of the Royal Economic Society, Band 114, Heft 495, S. 223-246
ISSN: 1468-0297
Entendiendo por qué se Redujo la Criminalidad en la Década de 1990: Cuatro Factores que lo Explican y Seis que No
In: Ius et praxis: derecho en la región, Band 10, Heft 2
ISSN: 0718-0012