Political Drama, Economic Conditions, and the Dynamics of Presidential Popularity
In: American journal of political science, Band 27, Heft 2, S. 165
ISSN: 1540-5907
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In: American journal of political science, Band 27, Heft 2, S. 165
ISSN: 1540-5907
In: American political science review, Band 87, Heft 3, S. 672-685
ISSN: 1537-5943
By incorporating emotionality, we propose to enrich information-processing models of citizens' behavior during election campaigns. We demonstrate that two distinct dynamic emotional responses play influential roles during election campaigns: anxiety and enthusiasm. Anxiety, responding to threat and novelty, stimulates attention toward the campaign and political learning and discourages reliance on habitual cues for voting. Enthusiasm powerfully influences candidate preferences and stimulates interest and involvement in the campaign. The findings support a theoretical perspective that regards cognitive and emotional processes as mutually engaged and mutually supportive rather than as antagonistic. We suggest that the democratic process may not be undermined by emotionality as is generally presupposed. Instead, we believe that people use emotions as tools for efficient information processing and thus enhance their abilities to engage in meaningful political deliberation.
In: American political science review, Band 87, Heft 3, S. 672-685
ISSN: 0003-0554
In: American political science review, Band 86, Heft 1, S. 87-105
ISSN: 1537-5943
We examine the politics of the strategic agenda. Abstracting a politics on the liberal-conservative dimension, we analyze Key Vote roll call data from the U.S. House of Representatives during the Eisenhower and Reagan administrations. The data suggest that politicians set the policy agenda in a strategic fashion. Because they consider such factors as long-term political goals, the changing institutional setting, and plebiscitary presidential politics, agenda-setters propose legislation that only imperfectly reflects their and the membership's wishes on the issue at hand. Thus, as the final stage in the political process, the strategic selection of an agenda provides a means by which factors other than policy preferences affect policy outcomes. The analyses affirm the strategic agenda as a core element in political life.
In: Revista de estudios políticos, Heft 124, S. 353-354
ISSN: 0048-7694
In: Revue française de science politique, Band 53, Heft 6, S. 887-910
ISSN: 0035-2950
In: Electoral studies: an international journal on voting and electoral systems and strategy, Band 19, Heft 2-3, S. 295-312
ISSN: 1873-6890
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 19, Heft 2-3, S. 295
ISSN: 0261-3794
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 19, Heft 2, S. 295-312
ISSN: 0261-3794
In: American political science review, Band 92, Heft 4
ISSN: 0003-0554
In: American political science review, Band 92, Heft 4, S. 901-912
ISSN: 1537-5943
Contrary to the claim by Green, Palmquist, and Schickler (1998), macropartisanship is largely shaped by presidential approval and consumer sentiment. It is not the case, however, that macropartisanship mirrors the ever-changing levels of current presidential popularity and prosperity. Rather, macropartisanship reflects the cumulation of political and economic news that shapes approval and consumer sentiment. Using ECM technology, we show that, far from being the weak force that Green et al. suggest, the cumulation of innovations in presidential approval and consumer sentiment largely account for the long-term trends in macropartisanship. For forecasting macropartisanship in the near future, it is better to predict from the fundamentals represented by the history of approval and consumer sentiment up to a given moment than from current values of macropartisanship itself.
In: American political science review, Band 92, Heft 4, S. 901-912
ISSN: 0003-0554
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 793-801
ISSN: 1468-2508
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 793-801
ISSN: 0022-3816
In: American political science review, Band 89, Heft 3, S. 543-565
ISSN: 1537-5943
If public opinion changes and then public policy responds, this is dynamic representation. Public opinion is the global policy preference of the American electorate. Policy is a diverse set of acts of elected and unelected officials. Two mechanisms of policy responsiveness are (1) elections change the government's political composition, which is then reflected in new policy and (2) policymakers calculate future (mainly electoral) implications of current public views and act accordingly (rational anticipation). We develop multiple indicators of policy activity for the House, Senate, presidency, and Supreme Court, then model policy liberalism as a joint function of the two mechanisms. For each institution separately, and also in a global analysis of "government as a whole," we find that policy responds dynamically to public opinion change. This responsiveness varies by institution, both in level and in mechanism, as would be expected from constitutional design.