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"John T. Wilder was an entrepreneur, Civil War general, and business leader who would become influential in the development of post-Civil War Chattanooga. A northern transplant who made his early fortune in the iron industry, Wilder would gain notoriety in the Western Theater through his victories at the battles of Chattanooga, Chickamauga, and throughout the Tullahoma and Atlanta Campaigns while leading the famous "Lightning Brigade." After the Civil War, he relocated to Chattanooga and began the Roane Iron Company and fostered southern ironworks throughout the southeast. He was elected mayor of Chattanooga but would fail to be elected to Congress as its representative. Finally, he was instrumental in the establishment of national military parks in Chattanooga and Chickamauga. Nicely's biography captures the life of a man important to the overall development of Chattanooga and East Tennessee and argues that Wilder was influential in bringing both northern and immigrant populations to the area"--

Introduction / by Josh Zeman -- Satan at Stanford -- The gun of August -- "Knock on coffins" -- Her name was Stacy -- Countdown : the final week -- Catch -- Confession -- "Sam sleeps" -- The process -- Into the maze -- Blood in the badlands -- "Hello from the gutters" -- Minot? Why not? -- A matter of murder -- Inside the biggest case -- The most unlikely ally -- "Sam" speaks -- "Hunted, stalked and slain" -- What's happening, America? -- From the belly of the beast -- A coast-to-coast conspiracy -- A call to Copco -- In death's valley -- Murder reigned in Southern California -- Death mask.

A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book:Provides insights from Maury Harris, named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance. Demonstrates ""best practices"" in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts. Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their pro

A practical guide to understanding economic forecastsIn Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book:Provides insights from Maury Harris,named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance.Demonstrates 'best practices' in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts.Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their projections. These valuable procedures can help forecast users evaluate forecasts and forecasters as inputs for making their own specific business and investment decisions.Emphasizes the critical role of judgment in improving projections derived from purely statistical methodologies.Harris explores the prerequisites for sound forecasting judgment—a good sense of history and an understanding of contemporary theoretical frameworks—in readable and illuminating detail.Addresses everyday forecasting issues, including the credibility of government statistics and analyses, fickle consumers, and volatile business spirits. Harris also offers procedural guidelines for special circumstances, such as natural disasters, terrorist threats, gyrating oil and stock prices, and international economic crises.Evaluates major contemporary forecasting issues—including the now commonplace hypothesis of sustained economic sluggishness, possible inflation outcomes in an environment of falling unemployment, and projecting interest rates when central banks implement unprecedented low interest rate and quantitative easing (QE) policies.Brings to life Harris's own experiencesand those of other leading economists in his almost four-decade career as a professional economist and forecaster. Dr. Harris presents his personal recipes for long-term credibility and commercial success to anyone offering advice about the future. MAURY HARRISis a Managing Director and Chief Economist for the Americas for the UBS investment bank. Dr. Harris has led forecasting teams ranked as the most accurate in the country in four separate years over the past decade. In addition, he has been named numerous times to the Institutional Investor (II) All-America Research Team over the past two decades. Dr. Harris is a past President of the Forecaster's Club of New York. Prior to the UBS AG acquisition of PaineWebber Incorporated, he was the Chief Economist for PaineWebber. Before that, Dr. Harris worked for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and The Bank for International Settlements. Dr. Harris holds a PhD in economics from Columbia University, an MA in economics from Columbia University, and a BA in economics from the University of Texas, where he graduated Phi Beta Kappa. He is married with two children.

Prologue : a hothouse for economic growth -- The marvel of men and machines -- The lure of lovely and lucrative land -- The defeat of distance and desolation -- The potential of plentiful power -- The fabrication of familiar forms -- Bargaining with behemoths -- The collision of city and country -- The mastery of mass markets -- Epilogue : the boundaries of big business.