Human Rights Violations and Competitive Elections in Autocracies
In: EPSA 2013 Annual General Conference Paper 150
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In: EPSA 2013 Annual General Conference Paper 150
SSRN
Working paper
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 75, Heft 2, S. 478-490
ISSN: 1468-2508
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 75, Heft 2, S. 478-490
ISSN: 0022-3816
In: EPSA 2013 Annual General Conference Paper 439
SSRN
Working paper
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 489-500
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
World Affairs Online
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 489-500
ISSN: 1468-2478
Does domestic political unrest deter foreign direct investment (FDI)? And what are the longer term impacts of unrest upon the market? Most theories suggest that investors are deterred by unrest. However, empirical research returns only marginal support. We argue that these mixed results stem from the conflation of the distinct tactics and outcomes of political unrest. Violent forms of unrest increase uncertainty and risk. By comparison, nonviolent forms of unrest are shown to more frequently achieve their goals and increase the prospects for democratic change and market stability. In addition, investors avoid markets where campaigns have ended in failure, defined as the campaign not achieving their stated political aims. Failed campaigns often precipitate a cycle of unrest that create greater uncertainty over the long-term stability of a state. We find strong evidence in favor of our propositions, even after taking political motivation and non-random selection into account. Adapted from the source document.
In: International Studies Quarterly, Band 58, Heft 3, S. 489-500