150.000 missing Filipinos : a demographic crisis in Batangas, 1887-1903
In: Annales de démographie historique: ADH, Band 1985, Heft 1, S. 215-243
ISSN: 1776-2774
On one level, this article examines a delimited demographic crisis in the provincial Philippines : an apparently precipitous decline in the population of Batangas between 1887 and 1903. On another, it sub- jects to scrutiny two of the major sources of Philippine historical demography — parish records and the census of 1903.
This study finds that both the parish records and the census are seriously flawed. The chief deficiency of the former is under-registration of events, especially in the burial registers, which in one year alone failed to include at least 31 percent of the deceased. The latter, which has often been used by demographers as a baseline in population projections, undercounts the population of Batangas by no fewer than 10,000 people, approximately 4 percent of the total count.
Given tbe flaws of the sources, the author is unable to account for the observed population décline in Batangas with any précision, but it is able, all the same, to make an informed guess about the principal demographic trends of the period. Between 1887 and 1898, natural increase in the province appeared to be minimal, because of an abnormally high level of mortality due to epidemic disease. Conditions then seemed to improve slightly between 1899 and 1901, and the level of mortality decreased. Finally, in 1902, there were two successive epidemies — malaria and cholera — which together were responsible for most of the population decline ; all in all, during that single year alone, the natural decrease was close to 34,000.