Suchergebnisse

Technische Entwicklung muß als "teilweise vorprogrammiert" angesehen werden. Teilweise Vorprogrammierung ist dabei zu verstehen als "nicht-lineare Interdependenz zwischen sozialen, politischen, wirtschaftlichen und technischen Faktoren". Wirtschaftliche, wissenschaftliche und soziopolitische Vorprogrammierung werden anhand eines Modells erläutert. (IB)

"This paper attempts to explain the coming and going of the Great Depression purely in real-economic terms by exhibiting some long-run regularities in the evolutionary interplay between innovation and Stagnation. This interplay seems to go through long-range cycles of structural change. According to our propositions, Stagnation is the result of imbalanced technological change: for too many years there were too many rationalizing (R) innovations and too few expansionary (E) innovations. As the E/R ratio becomes too low, the socio-economic system becomes structurally unstable (crisis) and structurally ready (recovery) for a new spurt of basic innovations and a good many expansionary changes." (author's abstract)