Indonesia and Australia: towards a positive future: a report into the political relationship between Australia and Indonesia
In: http://hdl.handle.net/1885/14168
Indonesia and Australia, despite being geographically close, have rarely enjoyed stable, positive political relations. The 57 year relationship has been characterised by its oscillating nature of high and low points with a record low in 1999 as a result of Australia's role in the independence of East Timor. In recent years the relationship has experienced numerous fluctuations due to domestic and global factors. It is, therefore, an opportune moment to reassess the Jakarta/Canberra relationship and ask the questions, 'What is the future of Indonesia/Australia political relations? Will the unstable, oscillating pattern continue? Or have the changes resulted in steps being taken towards stable, positive bilateral political relations? The first step in determining the answer to these questions was to identify the relevant theories of international relations. These theories attempt to explain how States interact with each other and the motivation for certain actions. Characterising actions and events in the Indonesia/ Australia relationship within a theoretical framework, helps to clarify the motivations and influences on the relationship. The second step was to analyse the nature of the Jakarta/Canberra relationship from 1991-1999 through the prism of Australia's foreign policy. Through this focus on the nature and structure of the relationship in the post Cold War era, this study seeks to identify areas of the relationship that would need to change if a positive and stable relationship was to occur. The third step was to examine, in light of global and domestic changes, the areas of convergence and divergence within the relationship from 1999 until the present day.The identified areas were also assessed to determine what impact they have on the nature of bilateral relations. From these three steps the general conclusion was drawn that the future of the Jakarta/Canberra relationship is optimistic because progress has been made towards establishing the structures needed for a positive, stable relationship, reflecting: 1. The internal pressure arising from differing cultures will continue to influence the relationship. 2. Even though Australia's role in the independence of East Timor resulted in poor relations, East Timorese independence removed a key barrier to positive, stable relations. 3. More than ever before, the security of each State depends on actions of the other. This creates a necessity for positive co-operation and engagement. 4. The democratisation of Indonesia will continue to increase the similarities between the two countries resulting in easier engagement. However, if the full transition does not occur, this optimistic prediction is in doubt. 5. The separatist movement in West Papua is a possible detractor from further progress.