Peaceful Termination of Unsuccessful Coup Attempts in the Philippines
In: Journal of contingencies and crisis management, Band 3, Heft 4, S. 215-227
ISSN: 1468-5973
This research identifies context factors that contributed to the peaceful termination of failing Philippine coup attempts. It also looked at some social and psychological processes of endgame bargaining. The adversarial parties were the Aquino government versus anti‐government military forces. The right combination of context factors produced a favorable bargaining outcome – the proper mix of external pressure variables and availability of acceptable third parties. Situational factors that pushed the rebels to the bargaining table included their strategic military failure, depleted resources and a government ultimatum. Teams of local peace intermediaries consisted of politically biased mediators and neutral church representatives. The go‐betweens'acceptability to the rebels depended on the latters'perceived trustworthiness and political potency. Other social and psychological dimensions covered by this study were the affective states, messages, and interpersonal communication processes during various bargaining stages.