Non ci resta che crescere: riforme ; chi vince, chi perde, come farle
In: Itinerari
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In: Itinerari
In: CESifo working paper series 2967
In: Fiscal policy, macroeconomics and growth
In this paper we use a transparent statistical methodology synthetic control methods to implement data-driven comparative studies about the impact of autocratic transition on real per capita GDP. The applied methodology compares the growth of countries that experienced a transition to autocracy with the growth of a convex combination of similar countries that remained democratic, and it accommodates for the time-varying impact of unobservable heterogeneity. To implement this statistical framework, in a panel of 160 countries, we focus on 14 episodes of transition from democracy to autocracy. We find that the effects of autocratic transitions come in all shapes and sizes, since our data are split in almost equal parts between insignificant, negative, and positive effects. We also find that negative effects tend to get worse over time, and that African countries are badly affected by the autocratic transition possibly because of a resource curse.
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 8, Heft 76, S. 37-38
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 3, Heft 25, S. 34-35
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 3, Heft 21, S. 27-28
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 3, Heft 29, S. 12-13
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 3, Heft 22, S. 43-44
In: Le nuove ragioni del socialismo: mensile di cultura e politica riformista ; mensile del Movimento per le Ragioni del Socialismo, Band 2, Heft 8, S. 21-24
In: Mondoperaio: rivista mensile periodico dei socialisti, Heft 4-5, S. 107-111
ISSN: 0392-1115
In: Public choice, Band 171, Heft 3-4, S. 257-281
ISSN: 1573-7101
This paper investigates the differential response of male and female voters to competitive persuasion in political campaigns. We implemented a survey experiment during the (mixed gender) electoral race for mayor in Milan (2011), and a field experiment during the (same gender) electoral race for mayor in Cava de' Tirreni (2015). In both cases, a sample of eligible voters was randomly divided into three groups. Two were exposed to either a positive or a negative campaign by one of the opponents. The third—control—group received no electoral information. In Milan, the campaigns were administered online and consisted of a bundle of advertising tools (videos, texts, slogans). In Cava de' Tirreni, we implemented a large scale door-to-door campaign in collaboration with one of the candidates, randomizing positive vs. negative messages. In both experiments, stark gender differences emerge. Females vote more for the opponent and less for the incumbent when they are exposed to the opponent's positive campaign. Exactly the opposite occurs for males. These gender differences cannot be accounted for by gender identification with the candidate, ideology, or other observable attributes of the voters.
BASE
This paper investigates the differential response of male and female voters to competitive persuasion in political campaigns. We implemented a survey experiment during the (mixed gender) electoral race for mayor in Milan (2011), and a field experiment during the (same gender) electoral race for mayor in Cava de' Tirreni (2015). In both cases, a sample of eligible voters was randomly divided into three groups. Two were exposed to either a positive or a negative campaign by one of the opponents. The third (control) group received no electoral information. In Milan, the campaigns were administered online and consisted of a bundle of advertising tools (videos, texts, slogans). In Cava de' Tirreni, we implemented a large scale door-to-door campaign in collaboration with one of the candidates, randomizing positive vs. negative messages. In both experiments, stark gender differences emerge. Females vote more for the opponent and less for the incumbent when they are exposed to the opponent's positive campaign. Exactly the opposite occurs for males. These gender differences cannot be accounted for by gender identification with the candidate, ideology, or other observable attributes of the voters.
BASE
In: CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5868
SSRN
In: European Journal of Political Economy, Band 40, S. 260-273
In: CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP10514
SSRN
Working paper