Suchergebnisse

This paper explores the relationship between export growth and economic growth in the case of Pakistan by employing time series data for the period 1971- 2013. This study has incorporated variables like GDP (Gross Domestic Product) exports, imports and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). We have applied ARDL to co-integration and ErrorCorrection Model (ECM). The study provides the evidence of stationary time series variables, the existence of the long - run relationship between them, and the result of ECM revealed short rum equilibrium adjustment. Pakistan has many options for enhancing the export of the country. There is a dire need to minimize trade barriers and restrictions such as import and export quotas. Government of Pakistan had introduced Structural Reforms for liberalization, privatization and de-regulation which will actually shifted the trend of trade at a significant level in the end of 1980s. Low levels of interest rate can help exportable industries in which investments are needed to promote and enhance the exports. Stable exchange rate is the first and the best policy option for increasing the export and managing the imports. There is a cause and effect relationship between exchange rate and FDI. Pakistan has to immediately find the policies and processes that support logistics and facilitates trade.

Fiscal imbalances are one of the common economic indicators of developing countries as these countries have a structural weakness on one hand and a strong desire to invest in capital intensive projects that speeds up the pace of development. It has been noticed that in the last couples of years price expansion has slowed down and falling crude oil prices have been the most important factor in slow down price expansion. This study explores the association between inflation and indicators of fiscal imbalances in the first place and second how the choice of financing fiscal imbalances influences price expansion. To explore this connection, a time series data of Pakistan span from 1973 to 2014 have been employed. Different methods of financing fiscal imbalances have been followed, including borrowings and printing of money. The observational discoveries of the paper depict that there is a direct association between inflation and indicators of fiscal imbalances. Every method of financing imbalances is directly and essentially identified with the price expansion within Pakistan. The ARDL bound testing approach is employed to test this relation. Government has to take care of the problem of fiscal imbalances before it becomes more severe and serious.

This paper explores the short and long run dynamics of inflation in Pakistan using Johansen Co-integration Technique covering data from 1972-73 to 2012-13. Consumer Price Index (CPI), Exchange Rate (ER), Government Borrowing (GB), Non-Government Borrowing (NGB), Real GNP (RGNP), Indirect Taxes (IT), Growth Rate of Money Supply (GMS), Import Price Index (IPI), Real Demand relative to Real Supply (RD/RS) and Wheat Support Price (WSP) Money Supply (MS) are taken as indicators. The result shows a long run relationship among the selected variables. It is found that the ER is the most significant factor of inflation in 2011-12, GB, IT, GMS, IPI, RD/RS. It represents the output gap consist of fiscal policy inflation is highly significant.