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Introduction. The issue of the climate impact on the life insurance market in the European Union has been little researched so far. Previous research is mainly focused on non-life insurance, which is directly linked to environmental changes, since the business's and the public losses from natural disasters and catastrophes are more direct and immediate. However, climate change also affects people's quality and life expectancy. Although over the past decades, the duration of life in the world has increased, during the same period there have been no catastrophic changes in nature. However, over time, the connection between natural disasters and human life may increase.Purpose. The aim of this study is to access the tendencies of the EU life insurance market in the conditions of climate change.Results. The panel model results show the substantial positive relations between the size of premiums and greenhouse gas emissions for life insurance contracts.Originality. This article contributes to the scientific literature and fills the gap in the investigation of the climate change impact on the life insurance market in the EU.Conclusions. Despite the paucity of data on the impact of climate change on the level and duration of human life in the long term, the results of our study indicate the growing interest in life insurance. It seems that this is not related to the people's desire to reduce the risk of premature death or with the understanding that climate change can increase the risk of death, but with the desire and ability to save money at a later time, thus increasing their financial security in future periods. ; Зміни клімату є суттєвою проблемою, яка спричиняє як загрози, так і можливості в різних сферах життєдіяльності людини. Фінансовий сектор, як одна з найбільш чутливих галузей економіки, реагує на всі тенденції й зміни в навколишньому середовищі. Результати його діяльності безпосередньо залежать від змін факторів впливу на діяльність господарюючих суб'єктів, тому його завданням є відслідковування як ...

An accurate forecast of interstate trade volume allows for short-term and long-term planning, particularly deciding on state budget revenues, foreign exchange earnings, border arrangement, other infrastructure, migration and social policies. Hostilities are destructive so the russian military aggression against Ukraine in 2022 needs to be assessed in terms of its effects on key economic aspects of Polish-Ukrainian relations, as Poland has been the main economic, trade and social partner of Ukraine in recent years. This article analyses the trade dynamics between the two countries since 2005. It was found that since 2015 the main trends of this dynamics have changed. Monthly data from 2015 to 2021 were used for modelling and forecasting. Relevant SARIMA and Holt-Winters exponential smoothing models were built. These models forecast the volume of trade for the fourth quarter of 2021 and the first quarter of 2022. The relative errors of forecasting (compared to actual data) for October, November and December 2021 were as follows: according to the SARIMA model – 0.8%, 3.6% and 2.3%, respectively; for the Holt-Winters model – 1.9%, 3.6% and 0.7%, respectively. Given the expectations and consequences of russia's military aggression against Ukraine, the average projected trade turnover between Ukraine and Poland was reduced by 20% per month for the first quarter of 2022. In comparison with the available actual (preliminary) data for January 2022, such a pessimistic forecast gave the following relative forecasting errors: according to the SARIMA model – 3.8%; according to the Holt-Winters model – approx. 1%.