Suchergebnisse

Extrapolation and back-projection of the number of inhabitants of England in 1871 according to the so-called homeostatic method based on fertile marriages, seem to be quite reliable in general, with the exception of the results for 1801 and 1841. According to the hitherto available literature on the subject, the variance for 1801 is seen to be due to the incompleteness of the first census. With regard to the problematical year 1841, the present article tries to prove in several ways that, contrary to prevailing opinion, the reasons for the well-known discrepancies between the official counting of births beginning in 1837 and the census of 1841, must not so much be looked for in the lacunae of the current statistics but rather in the double-countings while the census was taken. This implies that the results of the homeostatic method used for the year 1841 are in fact reliable.