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THIS STUDY SPECIFIES A NON-RECURSIVE SIMULTANEOUS EQUATION MODEL AND ESTIMATES ITS PARAMETERS FOR THE 1972 AND 1976 ELECTIONS USING CENTER FOR POLITICAL STUDIES DATA. IN SUPPORT OF THE ARGUMENT THAT RESEARCH MUST TAKE ACCOUNT OF RECIPROCAL CAUSAL PATHS, THE ESTIMATES DIFFER FROM THOSE OF SIMPLE RECURSIVE MODELS.

This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press's mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1983.

Contrary to George Bishop's claim, collective deliberation and cue-taking permit even poorly informed individuals to form opinions that can accurately reflect their values and interests in light of available information. Statistical aggregation of poll results can smooth out offsetting errors and uncertainties and reveal collective preferences that are real, stable, consistent, coherent, differentiated, and responsive to information: preferences that policy makers should pay attention to. Media polls tend to be more useful for this purpose than academic surveys that encourage 'don't know' responses and use information-based filters that bias estimates of collective preferences against lower-income citizens, minorities, and others who tend to be less well informed. Media polls frequently ask about specific policy issues relevant to policy makers. Even biased poll questions of certain kinds can provide useful information about collective policy preferences. Adapted from the source document.