Polls and Elections: Firing Back: Out‐Party Responses to Presidential State of the Union Addresses, 1966‐2006
In: Presidential studies quarterly, Band 41, Heft 3, S. 604-618
ISSN: 0360-4918
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In: Presidential studies quarterly, Band 41, Heft 3, S. 604-618
ISSN: 0360-4918
In: Political science quarterly: a nonpartisan journal devoted to the study and analysis of government, politics and international affairs ; PSQ, Band 125, Heft 3, S. 425-442
ISSN: 1538-165X
In: Political behavior, Band 33, Heft 1, S. 79-93
ISSN: 1573-6687
In: Political behavior, Band 32, Heft 3, S. 369-386
ISSN: 1573-6687
In: Political science quarterly: PSQ ; the journal public and international affairs, Band 125, Heft 3, S. 425-442
ISSN: 0032-3195
World Affairs Online
In: Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics, Band 8, Heft 4
This article examines campaign dynamics and the evolution of voter preferences for congressional candidates during the 2010 midterm election cycle. Using national pre-election polls of registered voters, I show that there was meaningful change in voter preferences over the course of the campaign and that support for Democratic contenders declined considerably between early March and Election Day. The evidence I present also reveals growing support for Republican contenders was linked to developments during the campaign period. Specifically, the erosion in Obama approval, deterioration in national economic conditions and the passage of the health reform legislation appeared to fuel the Democratic downturn. Adapted from the source document.
In: Political behavior, Band 32, Heft 3, S. 369-387
ISSN: 0190-9320
In: Journal of political marketing: political campaigns in the new millennium, Band 8, Heft 4, S. 269-271
ISSN: 1537-7865
In: Presidential studies quarterly: official publication of the Center for the Study of the Presidency, Band 39, Heft 4, S. 896-907
ISSN: 1741-5705
This report examines accuracy and bias in national and subnational preelection polls conducted during the 2008 presidential election cycle. The analyses indicate that, despite concerns about poll methodology voiced during the election cycle, polls across the board generally performed quite well in 2008. That said, concerns about poll methodologies should not be wholly and readily dismissed. While the evidence suggests that improvements in accuracy and declining bias in preelection polls as a whole, compared to previous election cycles, sources of inaccuracy and bias can also be detected using 2008 polls.
In: Political science quarterly: a nonpartisan journal devoted to the study and analysis of government, politics and international affairs ; PSQ, Band 124, Heft 3, S. 584-586
ISSN: 1538-165X
In: Electoral Studies, Band 28, Heft 2, S. 309-313
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of the Western Political Science Association and other associations, Band 62, Heft 1, S. 70-76
ISSN: 1938-274X
This article reports the results of a randomized field experiment designed to compare directly the mobilization impact of partisan versus nonpartisan messages delivered via commercial phone banks. The experiment, conducted during the November 2005 municipal elections in Albany, New York, incorporates a series of design innovations to improve on extant research and to assuage skepticism about the internal and external validity of previous studies conducted along these lines. The author finds that partisan messages delivered by professional call centers are no more effective than nonpartisan messages in mobilizing voters. Adapted from the source document.
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 73, Heft 1, S. 119-129
ISSN: 1537-5331
In: Presidential studies quarterly, Band 39, Heft 4, S. 896-907
ISSN: 0360-4918
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of Western Political Science Association, Pacific Northwest Political Science Association, Southern California Political Science Association, Northern California Political Science Association, Band 62, Heft 1, S. 70-76
ISSN: 1065-9129