AN EXAMINATION OF BASIC AND APPLIED INTERNATIONAL CRISIS RESEARCH
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 21, Heft 1, S. 225-246
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
A GRASP OF CRISIS FORECASTING REQUIRES A WORKING KNOWLEDGE OF (1) INTERNATIONAL CRISIS RESEARCH-INCLUDING CRISIS ESCALATION AND CRISIS MANAGEMENT; AND (2) GENERAL FORECASTING. CRISIS FORECASTING OF LEVELS OF CONFLICT, OF WAR AND VIOLENCE, AND OF CRISES PER SE.