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This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal.

This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal.

This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal. ; Straipsnyje keliamas klausimas, ar politiniai skandalai, vykstantys Lietuvoje, daro poveikį pasitikėjimo valstybės institucijomis pokyčiams ir, jei taip, kokį. Analizei pasirinktos šios institucijos: LR Vyriausybė, LR Seimas, LR Prezidento institucija, Specialiųjų tyrimų tarnyba ir Valstybės saugumo departamentas. Analizė apima 2004–2016 m. (imtinai) laikotarpį. Politinių skandalų ir pasitikėjimo valstybės institucijomis sąsajos yra analizuojamos remiantis instituciniu požiūriu į pasitikėjimo valdžia pokyčius, nefunkcionaliu požiūriu į politinius skandalus, taip pat kitų empirinių tyrimų, kuriuose analizuojamas politinių skandalų reiškinys, rezultatais. Kaip pagrindinis tyrimo metodas yra pasirinkta dinaminė regresinė analizė su laiko eilučių duomenimis. Atlikto empirinio tyrimo rezultatai atskleidžia, kad politiniai skandalai turi poveikio pasitikėjimo valstybės institucijomis kaitai. Visų analizuotų institucijų atvejais yra nustatytas neigiamas trumpalaikis politinių skandalų poveikis pasitikėjimo lygio jomis pokyčiams, patvirtinantis nefunkcionalaus požiūrio į politinius skandalus prielaidas. Gauti rezultatai taip pat leidžia teigti, jog nuo politinių skandalų eskalavimo žiniasklaidoje intensyvumo lygio ir politinio skandalo tipo gali priklausyti politinių skandalų neigiamo poveikio pasitikėjimui institucijomis pasireiškimo mastas*.

This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal.

This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal.

This article raises the question of whether the political scandals that take place in Lithuania have an effect on public trust in Lithuania's state institutions and, if so, what kind of an effect can be perceived. The following institutions of the Republic of Lithuania were selected for analysis: the Government, the Parliament, the Institution of the President, the Special Investigation Service, and the State Security Department. The analysis covers the 2004–2016 years (inclusive) period. The links between political scandals and trust in state institutions are analyzed based on an institutional approach to changes in governmental trust, as well as a non-functional approach to political scandals and the results of empirical studies analyzing political scandals and their relation to governmental trust. In order to determine links between political scandals and trust in state institutions, a dynamic linear regression with time series data was performed. The analysis suggests that political scandals that took place in Lithuania during the period of 2004–2016 had a substantial impact on changes in public trust in state institutions. In the case of all institutions, a negative short-term impact of political scandals on trust in these institutions has been identified. The results of the analysis also reveal that the extent of the negative impact of political scandals may depend on the level of intensity of the escalation of political scandals in the media and the type of political scandal.

Data shows that significant events such natural disasters, anthropogenic disasters and malign activities by hostile actors, often having cross-border effects, have been on the rise. However, the studies of the effects of those events on public policies, governance and institutions remain inconclusive. In this article we present a research agenda which proposes the classification of the significant events on the basis of their characteristics backing it with a newly compiled data set on significant events which took place in Lithuania in 2004-2020 and outline the directions for an in-depth analysis of the causal mechanisms of how those events affect policy and institutional change. We conclude with concrete proposals for further research which could provide theoretically innovative and policy relevant insights into the political processes which translate responses to significant events into policy and institutional changes affecting welfare institutions and resilience of society.

Data shows that significant events such natural disasters, anthropogenic disasters and malign activities by hostile actors, often having cross-border effects, have been on the rise. However, the studies of the effects of those events on public policies, governance and institutions remain inconclusive. In this article we present a research agenda which proposes the classification of the significant events on the basis of their characteristics backing it with a newly compiled data set on significant events which took place in Lithuania in 2004-2020 and outline the directions for an in-depth analysis of the causal mechanisms of how those events affect policy and institutional change. We conclude with concrete proposals for further research which could provide theoretically innovative and policy relevant insights into the political processes which translate responses to significant events into policy and institutional changes affecting welfare institutions and resilience of society.

Data shows that significant events such natural disasters, anthropogenic disasters and malign activities by hostile actors, often having cross-border effects, have been on the rise. However, the studies of the effects of those events on public policies, governance and institutions remain inconclusive. In this article we present a research agenda which proposes the classification of the significant events on the basis of their characteristics backing it with a newly compiled data set on significant events which took place in Lithuania in 2004-2020 and outline the directions for an in-depth analysis of the causal mechanisms of how those events affect policy and institutional change. We conclude with concrete proposals for further research which could provide theoretically innovative and policy relevant insights into the political processes which translate responses to significant events into policy and institutional changes affecting welfare institutions and resilience of society. ; Pastaruoju laikotarpiu susiduriama su vis labiau augančiu reikšmingų įvykių skaičiumi. Tokio pobūdžio įvykiai apima stichines, antropogenines nelaimes ir sąmoningus priešiškai nusiteikusių veikėjų veiksmus bei neretai pasižymi sektoriaus, valdymo srities ar valstybės ribas viršijančiu poveikiu. Nepaisant to, išvados apie šių įvykių poveikį viešajai politikai, valdymui ir institucijoms – nevienareikšmiškos. Šis straipsnis svariai papildo esamas akademines diskusijas, siūlydamas reikšmingų įvykių tyrimų darbotvarkę. Joje pateikiama tokio pobūdžio įvykių klasifikacija pagal jų charakteristikas, kuri empiriškai patikrinama remiantis naujai sudarytu duomenų rinkiniu apie 2004–2020 m. laikotarpiu Lietuvoje vykusius reikšmingus įvykius. Darbotvarkėje taip pat nubrėžiamos pagrindinės kryptys išsamiai priežastinių mechanizmų analizei, atskleisiančiai reikšmingų įvykių poveikį viešosios politikos, valdymo ir instituciniams pokyčiams. Straipsnio išvadose ir diskusijoje išskiriamos tolesnei disciplinos raidai bei sprendimų priėmėjams reikšmingos tyrimų kryptys. Jų įgyvendinimas leistų paaiškinti politinius procesus, kurių metu atsakas į reikšmingus įvykius tampa viešosios politikos, valdymo ir instituciniais pokyčiais, darančiais poveikį gerovės valstybės institucijoms ir visuomenės atsparumui.