Suchergebnisse

This paper analyses the factors underlying the victories and defeats of the Spanish basketball teams Real Madrid and Barcelona in the national league, ACB. The following research questions were addressed: (a) Is it possible to identify the factors underlying these results? (b) Can knowledge of these factors increase the probability of winning and thus help coaches take better decisions? We analysed 80 and 79 games played in the 2013–2014 season by Real Madrid and Barcelona, respectively. Logistic regression analysis was performed to predict the probability of the team winning. The models were estimated by standard (frequentist) and Bayesian methods, taking into account the asymmetry of the data, that is, the fact that the database contained many more wins than losses. Thus, the analysis consisted of an asymmetric logistic regression. From the Bayesian standpoint, this model was considered the most appropriate, as it highlighted relevant factors that might remain undetected by standard logistic regression. The prediction quality of the models obtained was tested by application to the results produced in the following season (2014–2015). Again, asymmetric logistic regression achieved the best results. In view of the study findings, we make various practical recommendations to improve decision making in this field. In short, asymmetric logistic regression is a valuable tool that can help coaches improve their game strategies.

International audience ; AbstractOlive is a key crop in the Mediterranean basin, socially, economically, and environmentally, being a major source of rural employment. Organic products such as olive oil have attracted many types of consumers in recent years. In this context, the Mediterranean basin represents 5 Mha of the 10 Mha of olive farming worldwide, with Spain being the leading producer. Also, during the recent decades, olive farmers met the challenges of sustainability by implementing principles of agroecological production. Therefore, the focal point is no longer exclusively on yields but also on the quality, health, and environmental aspects of products and systems. In this work, we review and analyse the global situation of organic farming, focusing on the development, current status, perspectives, and opportunities of organic olive farming in Andalusia (S Spain). In addition, we assess the environmental benefits and consequences of the shift from conventional to organic management of olive orchards, focusing on the improvement of soil quality and biodiversity. Also, the general factors affecting the decision making for acquiring organic olive oil are discussed. Our main findings show the following: (1) It is necessary to encourage educational and research programmes to promote the demand for these products, positively affecting consumer health, protecting the environment, and improving rural economies. (2) The future of organic agriculture will depend on its economic viability and on the determination shown by governments to protect these practices. (3) Further support for funding research is needed to continue studying the effect of olive cultivation on soil biological quality, changes in soil properties, and biodiversity. More importantly, these beneficial extra outputs produced for society must be interiorised in economic value to compensate organic oil producers. (4) Finally, a clear understanding of attitudes and preferences, as well as the motivations of consumer when making the choice for ...

International audience ; AbstractOlive is a key crop in the Mediterranean basin, socially, economically, and environmentally, being a major source of rural employment. Organic products such as olive oil have attracted many types of consumers in recent years. In this context, the Mediterranean basin represents 5 Mha of the 10 Mha of olive farming worldwide, with Spain being the leading producer. Also, during the recent decades, olive farmers met the challenges of sustainability by implementing principles of agroecological production. Therefore, the focal point is no longer exclusively on yields but also on the quality, health, and environmental aspects of products and systems. In this work, we review and analyse the global situation of organic farming, focusing on the development, current status, perspectives, and opportunities of organic olive farming in Andalusia (S Spain). In addition, we assess the environmental benefits and consequences of the shift from conventional to organic management of olive orchards, focusing on the improvement of soil quality and biodiversity. Also, the general factors affecting the decision making for acquiring organic olive oil are discussed. Our main findings show the following: (1) It is necessary to encourage educational and research programmes to promote the demand for these products, positively affecting consumer health, protecting the environment, and improving rural economies. (2) The future of organic agriculture will depend on its economic viability and on the determination shown by governments to protect these practices. (3) Further support for funding research is needed to continue studying the effect of olive cultivation on soil biological quality, changes in soil properties, and biodiversity. More importantly, these beneficial extra outputs produced for society must be interiorised in economic value to compensate organic oil producers. (4) Finally, a clear understanding of attitudes and preferences, as well as the motivations of consumer when making the choice for ...

This research would not have been achieved without the selfless collaboration of the INMA-Granada adolescents and families who took part in the study. The authors acknowledge the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation program HBM4EUfor the financial support under Grant Agreement #733032. The study was also supported by the ISCIII with grants no. CP16/00085 and FIS 17/01526, and the Human Genotyping Laboratory at the Spanish National Cancer Research Center (CeGen-PRB3). The authors also thank the support of the Biomedical Research Networking Center-CIBER de Epidemiologia y Salud Publica (CIBERESP), and the University of Granada (Grant "UNETE," UCE-PP2017-06). A. Rodriguez-Carrillo received a predoctoral fellowship (FPU 16/03011) from the Spanish Ministry of Education, Spain, and Vicente Mustieles and Shereen Cynthia D'Cruz were under contract with the HBM4EUproject. C. Freire received a grant under the Miguel Servet Type I program of the ISCIII "Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional" (MS16/00085; ISCIII/FEDER). This article forms part of the doctoral thesis developed by Andrea Rodriguez-Carrillo in the context of the "Clinical Medicine and Public Health Program" of the University of Granada (Spain). ; Background: Numerous contemporary non-persistent pesticides may elicit neurodevelopmental impairments. Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) has been proposed as a novel effect biomarker of neurological function that could help to understand the biological responses of some environmental exposures. Objectives: To investigate the relationship between exposure to various non-persistent pesticides, BDNF, and behavioral functioning among adolescents. Methods: The concentrations of organophosphate (OP) insecticide metabolites 3,5,6-trichloro-2-pyridinol (TCPy), 2-isopropyl-4-methyl-6-hydroxypyrimidine (IMPy), malathion diacid (MDA), and diethyl thiophosphate (DETP); metabolites of pyrethroids 3-phenoxybenzoic acid (3-PBA) and dimethylcyclopropane carboxylic acid (DCCA), the metabolite of insecticide ...