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Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"Ninety percent of the increase in the headline index was accounted for by increases in shelter costs, with additional contributions from motor vehicle insurance and food at home prices." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"The reduction of the US credit rating is overdue in light of the long and enthusiastic abandonment of fiscal soundness in Washington DC, recently abetted by monetary policy authorities." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"At present we continue to believe that the US will enter a recession by September 2024, but will adjust our perspectives if and when necessary as new data and facts become available." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"What matters is having a ready means of transacting outside dollar-based systems and institutions in exigent circumstances: to maintain continuity of trade, and to hedge against the policy errors of central bankers." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"The combination of Fed rate hikes and easing demand is clearly having the intended disinflationary effect on the general price level as measured by the various CPIs." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"In addition to the likelihood of an additional one or more rate hikes before the end of this year, our March 2023 prediction of a US economic recession within the next twelve to eighteen months–by end-of-summer 2024–remains intact." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER
"In a poll taken by the World Gold Council, 24 percent of the central banks surveyed intend to continue to purchase gold, and that in summary, 'Central banks' views toward the future role of the dollar were more pessimistic than in previous surveys.'" ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"A slew of contradictory data muddying the assessment of the monetary tightening measures has recently been released." ~ Peter C. Earle
Blog: AIER | American Institute for Economic Research
"AIER's April Business Conditions Monthly indicators reflect the disparate, and to some extent offsetting economic signals emergent within the US economy today." ~ Peter C. Earle
In: Sound Money Project Working Paper No. 2021-07
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