Using the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey to Gauge National and Regional Economic Conditions
In: Economic Quarterly, Issue Q1-Q4, pp. 81-137, 2017
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In: Economic Quarterly, Issue Q1-Q4, pp. 81-137, 2017
SSRN
Reflecting recent enforcement policy activism of US states, this paper examines federal-state overlap of illegal immigration policy in a spatial context. Keeping the US-Mexico context in mind, we assume that labor from a source nation enters a host nation through bordering states. Once in the host, illegal immigrants may stay in the state of entry or move to another state. The host nation's federal government and/or the state governments choose border and internal enforcement policies, and also provide local goods. As a benchmark, we define the completely centralized solution as the case where the federal government chooses all the policies, while the state governments are passive. At higher levels of decentralization (i.e., as states take more responsibility in deciding some of the policies), the overlap of federal and state policies is associated with both vertical and horizontal externalities. Among other results, we find that if inter-state mobility is costless, internal enforcement is overprovided, and border enforcement and local goods are under-provided under decentralization, leading to relatively high levels of illegal immigration. While inter-state migration costs moderate such overprovision/under-provision, extreme levels of inter-state immobility may lead to too little illegal immigration, and an overprovision of local goods.
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Working paper
In: Economics & politics, Band 20, Heft 2, S. 216-254
ISSN: 1468-0343
This paper explores the existence of partisan cycles in foreign direct investment performance. Our theoretical model predicts that the incumbent government's partisanship should affect foreign investors' decision to flow into different sectors of the host country: pro‐labor governments would encourage the inflow of the type of investment that complements labor in production; pro‐capital governments would promote the entry of investment that substitutes for labor. Empirical evidence from a sample of Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development countries reveals a pattern of foreign investors' response to partisan cycles consistent with the predictions of the model. First, foreign investment systematically flows into different sectors of the host economy under left‐ and right‐leaning incumbents. Second, we find a positive correlation between foreign investment and changes in average wages under left‐leaning incumbents, but no effect on wages under right‐leaning governments.
In: Economics & Politics, Band 20
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In: FRB Richmond Working Paper No. 23-12
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World Affairs Online
In: Michigan studies in international political economy