Suchergebnisse

This paper examines how LP/HC (low‐probability/high‐consequence) risk analysis is used in planning for locally unwanted land uses, or LULUs. LULUs are development projects that are predictably objectionable to many of their neighbors. Examples are nuclear power plants, hazardous waste facilities, refineries, and airports. The paper begins by elaborating the idea of LULUs, focussing on those whose planning typically requires or invokes some form of LP/HC risk analysis. It then discusses how land planning and planners actually use the LP/HC approach to deal with LULUs. It argues that in practice land‐use planners and their associates employ a concept of risk different from that of economists, scientists, and engineers and more like that of political decision‐makers and the public at large. It concludes with a political interpretation that offers some suggestions for productively reducing this divergence in the treatment of LULUs that pose LP/HC risks.

Introduction -- Perspectives on growth and decline -- When people leave : the ruins of urban neighborhoods -- Lessons from a declining city : Flint, Michigan after 40 years of population loss -- A new model for neighborhood change in shrinking cities -- Unfamiliar patterns in the sun : what postal workers already know -- Facing change in the Central Valley : a declining Fresno -- Endless growth in the desert? The fall of Phoenix -- Abandonment outside the Magic Kingdom: what went wrong in Orlando -- Conclusion.

This article is an exploratory study of Temporarily Obsolete Abandoned Derelict Sites (TOADS)-that is, deserted industrial sites and housing projects. Interviews with city planning departments and/or health departments in 14 of the 15 largest cities in the United States led to an analysis of how city governments experience and respond to TOADS. TOADS produce not only obvious economic problems but also less well-documented social problems: makeshift housing for the homeless, drug havens, fire-safety hazards, and toxic waste sites. A TOADS epidemic is taking place in American cities, large and small. Additional research and policy approaches for dealing with this TOADS epidemic are suggested.