Information, Uncertainty, and War
In: Annual Review of Political Science, Band 20, S. 505-527
51 Ergebnisse
Sortierung:
In: Annual Review of Political Science, Band 20, S. 505-527
SSRN
In: Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics
"Negotiation in Foreign Policy" published on by Oxford University Press.
SSRN
Working paper
In: Annual review of political science, Band 20, Heft 1, S. 505-527
ISSN: 1545-1577
Uncertainty about capabilities, intent, or resolve has long been linked to war. More recently, the bargaining model of war has established uncertainty, also referred to as asymmetric information, as one of the two major causes of costly conflict, the other being the dynamics of commitment in anarchy. A growing theoretical literature has made significant strides in fleshing out causal mechanisms and expanding our understanding of the role of information in conflict onset and how it relates to crisis bargaining and arms races. This article reviews these theoretical developments and describes current efforts to better understand the relationships between information, uncertainty, and war.
In: International organization, Band 65, Heft 3, S. 507-529
ISSN: 1531-5088
AbstractFluctuations in the price of oil and the contemporaneous political changes in oil-producing countries have raised an important question about the link between oil rents, political institutions, and civil liberties. This article presents a simple model of the relationship between resource income and political freedom and, using an instrumental variables approach, estimates the causal effect of shocks to oil revenues on levels of democracy. Using a new data set, multiple measures of democracy, and various specifications, I find that the effect of oil price shocks is larger than might be expected and on the order of the effects found from changes in gross domestic product.
In: International organization, Band 65, Heft 3, S. 507-529
ISSN: 0020-8183
World Affairs Online
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 55, Heft 4, S. 1003-1023
ISSN: 1468-2478
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 55, Heft 4, S. 1003-1024
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
In: Political research quarterly: PRQ ; official journal of Western Political Science Association, Pacific Northwest Political Science Association, Southern California Political Science Association, Northern California Political Science Association, Band 63, Heft 1, S. 188-203
ISSN: 1065-9129
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 52, Heft 6, S. 850-879
ISSN: 1552-8766
Using a sample of battlefield data from twentieth-century wars, the author of this article tests a number of previously untested hypotheses linking battle events and the decision to end violent conflict. The author explores how factors like the distribution of power, battlefield casualties, and information that flows from the battlefield influence war termination. The analysis speaks to the validity of competing rational choice theories of war termination.
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 52, Heft 6, S. 850-879
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 48, Heft 4, S. 459-486
ISSN: 1552-8766
The role of domestic politics is investigated, using a model to show how domestic opposition during a crisis can reveal to a rival state private information about the incumbent. In particular, the public nature of democratic competition results in the institutionally induced credibility of the message.
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 48, Heft 4, S. 459-486
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
In: The journal of politics: JOP
ISSN: 1468-2508
In: European security, Band 33, Heft 1, S. 126-149
ISSN: 1746-1545