Daugiavektoriškumas Uzbekistano užsienio politikoje 1991-2011 metų laikotarpyje ; Multivectorism in the foreign policy of Uzbekistan in the period 1991-2011
In the run of two decades since becoming the independent state, Uzbekistan has manifested sharp turns in its foreign policy by changing geopolitical partners, entering and leaving various international organizations and featured diplomacy, which was difficult to accommodate within any comprehensive strategic framework. This added to the unpredictability of the Uzbek foreign policy which in turn has been causing notable tensions in the Central Asia region, which sometimes were transferred to wider international contexts. In the ample academic research on the Central Asian politics it is usual to label such a type of foreign policy as multivector. The term itself lacks precise definition and may refer to the different aspects of policy. The dissertation offers the definition of multivectorism, and argues that the foreign policy of Uzbekistan is characterized not by continuous feature of multivectorism but rather by the recursive switching between multivector and alliance relationship modes, including partnerships with the sides of the different geopolitical orientation. The argument is built by exploration of the preconditions for the multivector foreign policy, stemming from the internal and external contexts of Uzbekistan and by undertaking the analysis of Uzbekistan foreign policy actions in the period between 1991-2011. Methodologically, the whole analytical effort exploits the strategic-relationship model and attempts to reveal the links between the contextual factors and the foreign policy activities. The dissertation claims that the overarching objective of Uzbekistan's foreign policy was the search for the external security guarantees, and the bias towards multivectorism is explained by the reluctance of the great powers to offer such guarantees.