Crucible of beliefs: learning, alliances, and world wars
In: Cornell studies in security affairs
11 Ergebnisse
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In: Cornell studies in security affairs
In: International security, Band 20, Heft 2, S. 5-34
ISSN: 0162-2889
In: World politics: a quarterly journal of international relations, Band 46, Heft 4, S. 490-526
ISSN: 0043-8871
World Affairs Online
In: American political science review, Band 92, Heft 4, S. 981
ISSN: 0003-0554
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 59, Heft 2, S. 640
ISSN: 0022-3816
In: American political science review, Band 92, Heft 2, S. 377-389
ISSN: 0003-0554
How do nation-states' political institutions affect the relations between states? This article addresses that question by testing the predictions of different theories linking political institutions to war outcomes. Specifically, rent-seeking and regime legitimacy theories predict that all democratic belligerents are more likely to win wars because they fight more effectively. Alternatively, other theories focusing on the domestic political vulnerability of leaders and the marketplace of ideas predict that democracies are likely to be more careful about choosing when to start war. This would mean that only democratic initiators are more likely to win. Analyzing all interstate wars from 1816 to 1982 with a multivariate probit model, we find that democratic initiators are significantly more likely to win wars; democratic targets are also more likely to win, though the relationship is not as strong. We also find empirical support for several control variables, including strategy, terrain, and capability. (American Political Science Review / FUB)
World Affairs Online
In: Political science quarterly: PSQ ; the journal public and international affairs, Band 112, Heft 2, S. 329
ISSN: 0032-3195
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 42, Heft 3, S. 259-277
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 59, Heft 2, S. 640-642
ISSN: 0022-3816
In: American political science review, Band 90, Heft 3, S. 512-533
ISSN: 0003-0554
In: American political science review, Band 90, Heft 3, S. 512-533
ISSN: 0003-0554
The literature on the democratic peace has emerged from two empirical claims: (1) Democracies are unlikely to conflict with one another, and (2) democracies are as prone to conflict with nondemocracies as nondemocracies are with one another. Together these assertions imply that the democratic peace is a dyadic phenomenon. There is strong support for the first observation, but much recent scholarship contravenes the second. This paper assesses whether the democratic peace is a purely dyadic, a monadic, or perhaps a mixed dyadic and monadic effect. Our analysis offers two important advances. First, our model directly compares the dyadic and monadic explanations by using the state as the unit of analysis rather than the potentially problematic dyad. Second, our model controls for an important but overlooked confounding variable: satisfaction with the status quo. Our results indicate that the initiation of violence within crises is predominantly a dyadic phenomenon, but we also find evidence suggesting a strong monadic effect regarding the emergence of crises. (American Political Science Review / FUB)
World Affairs Online