Venezuela's Revolution in Decline: Beware the Wounded Tiger
In: World policy journal: WPJ ; a publication of the World Policy Institute, Band 25, Heft 1, S. 45-58
ISSN: 0740-2775
Examines the three-pronged strategy that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez used in response to the 2002 crisis in governability. The first component is his search for external enemies, eg, Colombia, to mobilize popular support. His social policy reforms as manifest in programs called missiones are identified as the second component. Particular attention is given to his literacy campaign, which was part of Mision Robinson, which, despite government claims to the contrary, is labeled here as a "stunning failure." How the Chavez government was able to present the program as a success without any independently verifiable evidence is considered. A third component of this campaign against the opposition is identified as an elaborate state-backed method of reward & punishment that worked to raise the cost of opposing the Chavez regime. Attention is given to the revocation of elected officials' mandates via petition & the so-called Tascon & Maisanta Lists, databases of names of those who sided with the opposition on various petitions. In this light, analysis of income data of those on the lists indicate that they suffered setbacks either in the form of decreased income or, if they were a private sector corporation, increased taxes, while pro-government corporations were beneficiaries of government largesse. Asserting that Chavez now faces a crisis similar to that of 2002, his options to counter eroding popular support & a faltering political coalition are pondered. D. Edelman