Las coaliciones de gobierno: ?Preferencias ideologicas? o ?estrategia partidista? El caso de las elecciones autonomicas andaluzas del 12-J
In: Revista de estudios políticos, Heft 87, S. 353
ISSN: 0048-7694
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In: Revista de estudios políticos, Heft 87, S. 353
ISSN: 0048-7694
In: Política y gobierno, Band 17, Heft 2, S. 321-349
ISSN: 1665-2037
The normative focus of the study of political behavior assumes that voters are rational & that all apply the same method of reasoning when they have to choose. Given the limitations of the normative view of voting theory, some authors have chosen to explain the voter's decision from a descriptive perspective. In this paper, we develop an adaptive model to describe the different decision-making processes that voters apply. Our ultimate goal is to identify rules that characterize the political behavior of individuals. To achieve this, we use a classification technique from the field of automatic learning: decision trees. At the empirical level, we have discovered that Spanish voters apply different decision processes chat are guided by the heuristic criterion of cost saving of information about the incumbent, the government's actions & the future of the country's economy. The decision trees obtained enable us to classify voters into four categories: ritualists, voters influenced by affective factors, those influenced by government performance & forward-looking voters. Adapted from the source document.