Surprise, Surprise: What Drives the Rand/U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility?
In: IMF Working Paper No. 16/205
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In: IMF Working Paper No. 16/205
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Working paper
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In: IMF Working Paper No. 02/87
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In: Occasional papers Occasional paper no. 218
Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial--that is, currency, debt, and banking--crises. This paper addresses four questions: What are the fiscal causes of crises? Which fiscal vulnerability indicators help to predict crises? Can fiscal variables explain the severity of crises? And what are the fiscal consequences of crises? Its findings are based on statistical analysis of a large data set of fiscal variables for 29 emerging market economies over 1970-2000 and detailed case studies of 11 emerging market crises during the 1990s that focus on structural and institutional dimensions of fiscal vulnerability
In: Journal of institutional and theoretical economics: JITE, Band 135, Heft 3, S. 538
ISSN: 0932-4569
In: Journal of institutional and theoretical economics: JITE, Band 134, Heft 1, S. 142-143
ISSN: 0932-4569
In: Journal of institutional and theoretical economics: JITE, Band 133, Heft 4, S. 765-766
ISSN: 0932-4569
In: Occasional paper 200
In: Issues in transition
In: Issues in transition
World Affairs Online
In: IMF Working Papers
For Afghanistan, the dual prospect of declining donor support and high ongoing security spending over the medium term keeps the government budget tight. This paper uses a general equilibrium model to capture the security-development tradeoff facing the government in its effort to rehabilitate macroeconomic stability and welfare. In particular, it considers strategic policy options for counteracting and minimizing the negative macroeconomic impact of possible aid and revenue shortfalls. We find that the mobilization of domestic revenues through changes in tax policy is the preferred policy resp
In: Asian Development Review 31:2
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In: IMF Working Paper No. 13/133
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