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Part I: Theories of Family Dynamics -- Chapter 1. Introduction and Theoretical Overview -- Chapter 2.The Future of Family Demography: Filling in the Fourth Cell -- Chapter 3. Family Demography and Personal Life -- Chapter 4. Delayed Fertility as a Driver of Fertility Decline? -- Part II: Methodological Analyses of Transforming Families -- Chapter 5. Cohort Effects on Fertility As Age-Period Interactions: A Reanalysis of American Birth Rates, 1917-2020 -- Chapter 6. The Future of the Italian Family: Evidence from a Household Projection Model -- Chapter 7. A Multistate Analysis of United States Marriage, Divorce, and Fertility, 2005-10 and 2015-20: The Retreat From Marriage Continues -- Chapter 8. Heterogeneity in Hispanic Fertility: Confronting the Challenges of Estimation and Disaggregation -- Part III: Case Studies of Family Transformation -- Chapter 9. The Gender War and the Rise of Anti-Family Sentiments in South Korea -- Chapter 10. Cohort Change in Family Life Course Complexity of Adults and Children -- Chapter 11. Union Experience and Stability of Parental Unions in Sweden and Norway -- Part IV: Deviance and the Family -- Chapter 12. Criminal Offending Trajectories During the Transition to Adulthood and Subsequent Fertility -- Chapter 13. The Influence of Intimate Partner Violence on Early and Unintended Parenthood.

Chapter 1. Introduction -- Part I: Contemporary Perspectives on Fertility -- Chapter 2. Social capital, gender competition, and the resurgence of childlessness -- Chapter 3. Uncertainty and narratives of the future: A theoretical framework for contemporary fertility -- Chapter 4. Social contagion effects in fertility: Theory and analytical strategy -- Chapter 5. The context of interracial childbearing in the United States -- Part II: Fertility Intentions -- Chapter 6. Do reproductive attitudes and knowledge explain race-ethnic-nativity differences in unintended fertility? -- Chapter 7. Regional fertility differences in India -- Part III: The Demography of Multipartner Fertility -- Chapter 8. Multi-partner fertility in Europe and the United States -- Chapter 9. Welfare regimes and fertility in second unions -- Chapter 10 -- Years spent as mothers of young children: The role of completed fertility, birth spacing, and multiple partner fertility -- Chapter 11 -- Where's daddy? Challenges in the measurement of men's fertility -- Part IV: Issues of Measurement -- Chapter 12. Measuring the prevalence of multipartner fertility independent of fertility level. Chapter 13. Cross-sectional average length of life by parity: Illustration of U.S. cohorts of reproductive age in 2015.

Intro -- Preface -- Contents -- 1 Introduction -- References -- Part I Analyzing Theories of Family Demography -- 2 Reformulating Second Demographic Transition Theory -- 2.1 First Change: Independent Variation of SDT Outcomes -- 2.2 Second Change: Patterns of Advantage and Disadvantage -- 2.3 Reformulated SDT Theory Applied to Sweden -- 2.3.1 Retreat from Marriage -- 2.3.2 Dispersion of Childbearing Outside Marriage -- 2.3.3 Opposite Trends for Different SDT Indicators -- 2.4 Discussion: Individualization as a Theoretical Foundation -- 2.5 Conclusion -- References -- 3 Do People Have Reproductive Goals? Constructive Preferences and the Discovery of Desired Family Size -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.1.1 Background -- 3.1.2 Concepts -- 3.2 The Prevalence of and Basis for Uncertainty -- 3.2.1 Are People Really Uncertain About Their Future Fertility? -- 3.2.2 Uncertainty in the Context of Preferences -- 3.2.2.1 Indifference, Weak or Unclear Preferences -- 3.2.2.2 Clear Positive Preferences -- 3.2.2.3 Clear Negative Preferences -- 3.2.3 Further Evidence That Uncertainty Is Genuine -- 3.2.4 Summary -- 3.3 An Alternative Theoretical Approach to Fertility Preferences and Intentions -- 3.3.1 Preference Construction Theory -- 3.3.2 Fertility Intentions and Preferences as Constructed -- 3.3.2.1 Effective Preferences -- 3.3.2.2 Stated Preferences: Responses to Survey Questions -- 3.4 Discussion -- References -- 4 Consensual Union and Marriage in Brazil, 1970-2010. Gender Equality, Legal Issues and Social Context -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Background -- 4.2.1 Consensual Union in Latin America -- 4.2.2 Social and Cultural Aspects of Consensual Union and Marriage in Brazil -- 4.2.3 Legal Aspects of Consensual Union in Brazil -- 4.2.4 Gender Equality, Independence, Consensual Union and Marriage -- 4.3 Objectives and Hypotheses -- 4.3.1 Age and Education.

In this book new mathematical and statistical techniques that permit more sophisticated analysis are refined and applied to questions of current concern in order to understand the forces that are driving the recent dramatic changes in family patterns. The areas examined include the impact of the evolving Second Demographic Transition, where complex patterns of gender dynamics and social change are re-orienting family life. New analyses of marriage, cohabitation, union dynamics, and union dissolution provide a fresh look at the changing family life cycle, emerging patterns of partner choice, and the impact of union dissolution on the life course. The demography of kinship is explored, and the importance of parity progression to the generation of the kinship web is highlighted. The methodology of population projections by family status is examined, and new results presented that demonstrate how recognizing family status advances long term policy objectives, especially with regard to children and the elderly. This book applies up-to-date methods to examine the demography of the family, and will be of value to sociologists, demographers, and all those who are interested in the family.--

This volume presents state of the art analyses from scholars dealing with a range of demographic topics of current concern, including longevity, mortality and morbidity, migration, and how population composition impacts intergenerational transfer schemes. New approaches are applied to such issues as measuring changes in cohort survivorship in low mortality populations, patterns of mortality improvement at older ages, and the consequences of heterogeneity in the susceptibility to death. Studies examine models of the current status of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, advance present methods for estimating population change in small areas, and strive to disentangle age, period, and cohort effects. In sum, the book addresses key contemporary issues in measuring and modeling dynamic populations, and advances the frontier of dynamic demography

Comprehensively discusses and synthesizes the emerging field of dynamic modeling. This book includes discussions of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines, the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort measures

Life Tables and Stable Populations -- The Basic Life Table -- Life Tables with Multiple Decrements -- The Stable Population -- Multistate Population Models -- The Multistate Life Table -- The Multistate Stable Population -- Two-Sex Population Models -- The Interaction between the Sexes -- Two-Sex Marriage Models -- The Marriage Squeeze -- Two-Sex Fertility Models -- Models of Interacting Populations.

The article provides a nontechnical description of multistate population models, useful analytical tools that can reflect changes over time in the characteristics of a closed group of persons. The multistate life table literature is reviewed, emphasizing applications of the models to studies of marital status, family and household status, interregional migration, and labor force participation and concluding with a discussion of the relationship between multistate and event history models.

In ethnically stratified societies, some lower socioeconomic groups are able to move into a middle class status while others are not. Suggested is an outline of demographic implications of ethnic stratification, linking social, economic, & demographic factors. The focus is on the demographic opportunity structure. For a lower socioeconomic status group to move into a higher level, there must be another group able to fill the subordinate role it leaves. Groups that have such a demographic opportunity & use it can be expected to experience an economic gain & lower fertility rates. For the groups lacking this demographic opportunity, economic & class change will be more difficult. Examples are given of the experience of Asians & blacks in South Africa, in which the Asians made use of their opportunity, resulting in a large socioeconomic difference between the two groups. Similar examples are given of the Japanese rapid assimilation into the middle socioeconomic group in the United States following World War II, as compared to the experiences of the Mexican-Americans. 1 Table. Modified HA.

Marital status life tables were calculated using 1995 US rates of marriage, divorce, and mortality. Compared to figures for 1988, the proportion of persons surviving to age 15 who ever marry remained fairly steady at about five‐sixths of all men and seven‐eighths of all women. The average age at first marriage rose substantially: to 28.6 years for men and 26.6 years for women. The probability of a marriage ending in divorce changed little and was .437 for men and .425 for women. It is likely that no US period or cohort will ever have half of all marriages end in legal divorce, though the highest cohort may reach 47 percent. Patterns of marriage and divorce observed since 1970 show the effect that cohabitation continues to have on the American family, where it is delaying, but not replacing, marriage.