Suchergebnisse

CPS SURVEY DATA FROM 1952 TO 1978 ARE EMPLOYED IN A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF THREE PREDICTORS ON VOTING FOR HOUSE, SENATE, GUBERNATORIAL, AND PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES. AMONG THE FINDINGS ARE: PARTY IDENTIFICATION IS EQUALLY IMPORTANT IN VOTING FOR ALL FOUR OFFICES, AND DESPITE A DECLINING EFFECT IT IS STILL THE MOST IMPORTANT PREDICTOR OF VOTING; PRESIDENTIAL COATTAILS ESPECIALLY SERVE AS A VOTE GUIDE FOR THE LESS INFORMED, AND ARE MORE IMPORTANT IN FEDERAL THAN STATE ELECTIONS; INCUMBENCY IS MOST IMPORTANT TO THE MODERATELY AWARE VOTER, AND ONLY SINCE 1966 HAS IT BEEN MOST IMPORTANT IN HOUSE ELECTIONS.