Suchergebnisse
Filter
53 Ergebnisse
Sortierung:
Manufacturing exports, mining exports and growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Chile (1960 - 2001)
In: Diskussionsbeiträge 104
Multicointegration in US consumption data
In: Diskussionspapiere 382
Dissecting the purchasing managers' index: Are all relevant components included? Are all included components relevant?
In: Panoeconomicus: naučno-stručni časopis Saveza Ekonomista Vojvodine ; scientific-professional journal of Economists' Association of Vojvodina, Band 65, Heft 4, S. 381-394
ISSN: 2217-2386
In this paper we scrutinise the composition of one of the most renowned economic indicators that is regularly released for more than 30 countries and regions. The composite Purchasing Managers? Index (PMI) is constructed by pooling several survey based sub-components with certain fixed weights. Its characteristic feature is that its computation is based on the standardised methodology by that was developed for the PMI in the US more than thirty years ago. Though the uniform methodology makes the international comparison of national PMIs an easy and transparent task, it is not immediately clear whether the current fixed weighting scheme of the PMI components is supported by the data for other countries than US. We address this question using Switzerland as an example and our approach, based on Boriss Siliverstovs (2017), can be easily extended to other national PMIs. We find that the relative weights of the PMI components are generally supported by the data, except the fact that one component, found very informative for explaining GDP growth, is currently omitted from the PMI composition.
Dissecting the Purchasing Managers' Index:Are All Relevant Components Included? Are All Included Components Relevant?
In: KOF Working Paper No. 376
SSRN
Working paper
Do business tendency surveys help in forecasting employment?: A real-time evidence for Switzerland
In: OECD journal: journal of business cycle measurement and analysis: a joint publication of OECD and CIRET, Band 2013, Heft 2, S. 129-151
ISSN: 1995-2899
Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland
In: Applied Economics Quarterly, Band 58, Heft 4, S. 299-326
ISSN: 1865-5122
Money Demand in Estonia
This study develops a parsimonious stable coe?cient money demand model for Estonia for the period from 1995 till 2006. Using the Johansen Full Information Maximum Likelihood framework the two cointegrating vectors are found among the system variables including the real money balances, the gross domestic product, the long- and short-term interest rates, and the rate of inflation. The first cointegrating vector is identified as the money demand function whereas the second as the interest rate parity. Our study contributes to better understanding of the factors shaping the demand for money in the new Member States of the European Union that committed themselves to adopting of the Euro currency in the near future.
BASE
Dynamic modelling of the demand for money in Latvia
This study develops a parsimonious stable coefficient money demand model for Latvia for the period from 1996 till 2005. A single cointegrating vector between the real money balances, the gross domestic product, the long-term interest rate, and the rate of inflation is found. Our study contributes to better understanding of the factors shaping the demand for money in the new Member States of the European Union that committed themselves to adopting of the Euro currency in the near future.
BASE
R&D and non-linear productivity growth
In: Research Policy, Band 45, Heft 3, S. 634-646
Incentive effects of fiscal federalism: Evidence for France
This paper provides an empirical analysis on the question whether equalization payments across regions and transfers from the central government stimulate regional growth or impede it. Using a panel of 22 French regions from 2002 to 2008, we find that regional economic growth is positively affected by the fiscal equalization system. We employ two indicators of this system: the transfer volume measure (approximated by either tax revenues in other regions or transfers to regions) and the marginal retention rate. Our main finding is that the transfer volume effect is positive for growth in both donor and recipient regions. Hence, we do not find any evidence that regional governments in France allocate transfers inefficiently. This finding contradicts previous empirical studies for federal countries that tend to find adverse incentive effects of fiscal equalization on regional governments and growth. A major explanation behind this result could be that the volume of the transfers in France may appear to be relatively moderate, i.e. small enough to avoid adverse effects.
BASE
Think National, Forecast Local: A Case Study of 71 German Urban Housing Markets
In: KOF Working Papers No. 372
SSRN
Working paper
Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities
In: DIW Berlin Discussion Paper No. 1360
SSRN
Working paper
Rationality of Direct Tax Revenue Forecasts under Asymmetric Losses: Evidence from Swiss Cantons
In: KOF Working Papers No. 324
SSRN
Working paper
R&D and Non-Linear Productivity Growth of Heterogeneous Firms
In: KOF Working Papers No. 315
SSRN
Working paper