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Rational expectations, income policies and game theory
Rational expectations are viewed as a Nash equilibrium of a game. If a change of regime occurs, it is argued that it is very unlikely that the economy is going to achieve the new equlibrium at once. In fact, one can show that if the public acts prudently endogenous inflation inertia arises. Hence , at this point, government intervention by means of income's policies is required, in the sense that it guides the economy to the new equilibrium, much faster than the market. One also analyses, the effects of income's policies on a staggered wage setting. ; As expectativas racionais são vistas como um equilíbrio de Nash. Ocorrendo uma mudança de regime, argumenta-se que é muito pouco provável que a economia atinja o novo equilíbrio de uma vez só. Pode-se mostrar que se o público age de maneira prudente, aparece uma inércia endógena na inflação. Neste instante a intervenção do governo, por meio de uma política de rendas é necessária para levar a economia para o novo equílibrio, o que ocorrerá muito mais rapidamente do que no mercado. Analisam-se também os efeitos de políticas de renda numa situação de salários justapostos.
BASE
Desempenho economico do Brasil
In: A defesa nacional, Band 65, Heft 678, S. 181-193
World Affairs Online
The brazilian miracle: the next phase
In: Inter-American economic affairs, Band 28, Heft 1, S. 51-61
ISSN: 0020-4943
World Affairs Online
The Brazilian miracle: the next phase
In: Inter-American economic affairs, Band 28, S. 51-61
ISSN: 0020-4943
Inflation stabilization with incomes policy support: a review of the experience in Argentina, Brazil and Israel
In: Working paper series 2153
World Affairs Online
Inflation Stabilization with Incomes Policy Support: a Review of the Experience in Argentina, Brazil and Israel
In: NBER Working Paper No. w2153
SSRN
World Affairs Online
Transportation and Inflation: A Study of Irrational Policy Making in Brazil
In: Economic Development and Cultural Change, Band 13, Heft 2, S. 188-202
ISSN: 1539-2988
Hacia una renovacion del crecimiento economico en America Latina
In: Síntesis: revista documental de ciencias sociales iberoamericanas, S. 30-55
ISSN: 0213-7577
World Affairs Online