Suchergebnisse

Part I: Healthy Aging, Healthy Life Years Lost and Health Expenditure Allocation -- Chapter 1. Relation of the Weibull Shape Parameter with the Healthy Life Years Lost Estimates: Analytic Derivation and Estimation from an Extended Life Table -- Chapter 2. Direct Healthy Life Expectancy Estimates from Life Tables with a Sullivan Extension. Bridging the Gap Between HALE and Eurostat Estimates -- Chapter 3. Modeling the Health Expenditure in Japan, 2011. A Healthy Life Years Lost Methodology -- Chapter 4. Healthy Ageing in Czechia -- Chapter 5. Evolution of Systems with Power-Law Memory: Do We Have to Die? -- Part II: Mortality Modeling and Applications -- Chapter 6. Structural Equation Modeling: Infant Mortality Rate in Egypt Application -- Chapter 7. Modeling of mortality in elderly by lung cancer in the Northeast of Brazil -- Chapter 8. Demographics of the Russian pension reform -- Chapter 9. Using the Developing Countries Mortality Database (DCMD) to Probabilistically Evaluate the Completeness of Death Registration at Old Ages -- Chapter 10. Mortality developments in Greece from the cohort perspective -- Chapter 11. On demographic approach of the BGGM distribution parameters on Italy and Sweden -- Chapter 12. Alcohol consumption in selected European countries -- Part III: Birth-Death Process, Self-perceived Age and Gender Differences -- Chapter 13. Modelling monthly birth and deaths using Seasonal Forecasting Methods as an input for population estimates -- Chapter 14. Births by order and childlessness in the post-socialist countries -- Chapter 15. On the evaluation of 'Self-perceived Age' for Europeans and Americans -- Part IV: Theoretical Issues and Applications -- Chapter 16. Spatio-temporal aspects of community well-being in Multivariate Functional Data approach -- Chapter 17. Properties and Dynamics of the Beta Gompertz Generalized Makeham Distribution -- Chapter 18. Increasing efficiency in the EBT algorithm -- Chapter 19. Psychometric validation of constructs defined by ordinal-valued items -- Chapter 20. Robust Minimal Markov Model for Dengue Virus Type 3 -- Chapter 21. Determining influential factors in spatio-temporal models -- Chapter 22. Describing labour market dynamics through Non Homogeneous Markov System theory -- Part V: Life-time, Survival, Pension, Labor Force and Further Estimates -- Chapter 23. The wide variety of regression models for lifetime data -- Chapter 24. Analysing the risk of bankruptcy of firms: survival analysis, competing risks and multistate models -- Chapter 25. A bayesian modeling approach to private preparedness behavior against flood hazards -- Chapter 26. Assessing labour market mobility in Europe -- Chapter 27. The implications of applying alternative-supplementary measures of the unemployment rate to regions: Evidence from the European Union Labour Force Survey for Southern Europe, 2008-2015 -- Chapter 28. Reverse Mortgages: Risks and Opportunities -- Chapter 29. Estimating the Health State at Retirement: A Stochastic Modeling Approach.

This book provides new theories, applications and quantitative methods in demography, population studies and statistics. It presents and applies data analysis, statistics and stochastic modeling techniques focusing on demography, population aging, mortality and health sciences. The book describes diverse stochastic processes as well as Markov and semi-Markov models in demography and population studies, along with chapters on statistical models and methods in biostatistics and epidemiology. As such the book will be a valuable source to demographers, health scientists, statisticians, economists and sociologists.

This book introduces and applies the stochastic modeling techniques and the first exit time theory in demography through describing the theory related to the health state of a population and the introduced health state function. The book provides the derivation and classification of the human development stages. The data fitting techniques and related programs are also presented. Many new and old terms are explored and quantitatively estimated, especially the health state or "vitality" of a population, the deterioration and related functions, as well as healthy life expectancy. The book provides the appropriate comparative applications and statistics as connecting tools accompanied by the existing literature, and as such it will be a valuable source to demographers, health scientists, statisticians, economists and sociologists.

Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. The demographic future of Western Balkans: between depopulation and immigration -- Chapter 3. Population ageing process and depopulation context in Western Balkans -- Chapter 4. Temporary migration and policy challenges in the Western Balkan countries - Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and North Macedonia perspectives -- Chapter 5. The evolution of family related behaviours in the Western Balkans and their impact on present and future family and population structures: an analysis concerning the period 1945-2050 -- Chapter 6. Mortality and health developments in Bosnia-Herzegovina and Montenegro -- Chapter 7. Serbia: Policy response to demographic challenges -- Chapter 8. Spatial distribution of human capital in Serbia: empirical analysis with special reference to education -- Chapter 9. Challenges in getting old in Croatia -- Chapter 10. Albanian return migration in times of economic hardship -- Chapter 11. A spatial approach of migration and poverty in Albania: an inevitable correlation? -- Chapter 12. Nationals and foreigners fertility in a crisis environment, the case of Greece (2009-2020) -- Chapter 13. Is a Future Upward Trend in Births a Realistic Policy Goal? -- Chapter 14. The impact of highly skilled returning emigrants on the origin country's innovation performance: Evidence from Greece -- Chapter 15. Culture versus political and ecclesiastic legislation. A study on how Eastern Orthodox Easter customs and individual agency affect people's health in Greece -- Chapter 16. Attitudes towards reproduction and creating a family among Albanian women – the case of Arachinovo municipality, North Macedonia.