The Diverse Impacts of Politically Diverse Networks: Party Systems, Political Disagreement, and the Timing of Vote Decisions
In: International journal of public opinion research, S. edv018
ISSN: 1471-6909
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In: International journal of public opinion research, S. edv018
ISSN: 1471-6909
In: International journal of public opinion research, Band 27, Heft 4, S. 481-496
ISSN: 0954-2892
SSRN
Working paper
SSRN
Working paper
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 48, Heft 7, S. 854-881
ISSN: 1552-3829
In this article, we study how social assistance shapes election results across Latin America. Case studies in several countries have found electoral effects, yet it remains unclear whether and how effects vary cross-nationally, and whether electoral effects are due to mobilization or persuasion. We theorize that programs mobilize non-voters and convert the opposition simultaneously, but that the effects vary based on country-level political and programmatic differences. Using 2012 AmericasBarometer data, we develop a unified cross-national model that confirms that public assistance makes recipients more likely to turn out and, once at the polls, to vote for the incumbent. Compulsory voting laws and program politicization magnify the electoral effects of social assistance, but effects do not vary by presidential ideology or program conditionalities. These findings are consistent with the perspective that Latin American voters are boundedly rational, retrospective agents whose behavioral choices depend on their resources and environmental context.
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 48, Heft 7, S. 854-881
ISSN: 0010-4140
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