Suchergebnisse

Cover -- Half-Title -- Title -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Contents -- List of Tables -- List of Figures -- Acknowledgements -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Conservatives -- 3 Labour -- 4 Third Parties -- 5 Candidates -- 6 Campaigns -- 7 Outcomes -- 8 Impact -- 9 A 'Silly Season Story'? -- 10 Postscript: Put Up and Shut Up -- Appendix: Leadership Selection Rules as of 31 December 1994 -- Notes and References -- Bibliography -- Index.

CHARACTER CLUES RELEVANT TO PREDICTING PRESIDENTIAL PERFORMANCE ARE OBSERVABLE AT EVERY STAGE OF A PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN. LEADING CONTENDERS FOR THE 1988 REPUBLICAN AND DEMOCRATIC NOMINATIONS EXHIBITED PERSONALITY FEATURES WHICH DISADVANTAGED THEIR CANDIDACIES AND WOULD ALSO HAVE ENDANGERED THEIR PRESIDENCIES. AT THE NATIONAL CONVENTIONS, GEORGE BUSH AND MICHAEL DUKAKIS OFFERED GLIMPSES OF THEIR PRESIDENTIAL PERSONALITIES THROUGH THEIR VICE PRESIDENTIAL SELECTIONS AND ACCEPTANCE SPEECHES. WHEN THE TWO FACED EACH OTHER DURING THE GENERAL ELECTION, BUSH DISPLAYED A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE NATURE OF THE PRESIDENCY AND APPEARED MORE CAPABLE OF FUNCTIONING SUCCESSFULLY IN IT. OVERALL, THE 1988 CAMPAIGN SUGGESTS HOW THE PRESIDENTIAL SELECTION SYSTEM CAN AND DOES PRODUCE VALUABLE INFORMATION FOR ASSESSING CANDIDATES' QUALIFICATIONS FOR THE WHITE HOUSE.

JAMES DAVID BARBER ARGUES THAT A PRESIDENT'S CHARACTER IS THE BEST PREDICTOR OF HIS PERFORMANCE IN THE WHITE HOUSE. THIS PAPER SUGGESTS THAT SOME OF THE DIFFICULTIES ASSOCIATED WITH BARBER'S APPRAOCH COULD BE MINIMIZED BY FUSING HIS CHARACTER ANALYSIS WITH THE MORE TRADITIONAL EXPERIENCE-BASED APPROACH TO PREDICTING PRESIDENTIAL PERFORMANCE. THE RESULT OF SUCH AN INTEGRATION WOULD BE A CHARACTER-TEMPERED ANALYSIS OF EXPERIENCE, AN APPROACH WHICH IS HINTED AT IN BOTH NEUSTADT'S AND BARBER'S WORK. AFTER DISCUSSING THE IMPORTANCE OF STUDIES OF PRESIDENTIAL PERSONALITY GENERALLY, THIS PAPER EXAMINES SOME COMMON CRITICISMS OF BARBER'S APPROACH AND PROVIDES AN OUTLINE OF THE POTENTIAL ADVANTAGES OF CHARACTER-EXPERIENCE.