An innovated paradigm of geopolitical phenomena quantification: Interpretations, methods, and data sources
In: Međunarodni problemi: International problems, Band 72, Heft 1, S. 215-235
ISSN: 0025-8555
Research of geopolitical phenomena and processes is being characterized by
the scholarly tendency to opt for qualitative research strategies with the
complementary use of descriptive statistical methods. The states? behaviour
within the international system in the manner of conducting their
geopolitical code has not been the subject of significant quantitative
interest in academic thought over the last decades of the 20th century. A
massive emergence of datasets as instruments of quantification, which index
geopolitical phenomena, has been accompanied by the rise of quantitative
geopolitical studies at the end of the last century. This paper aims to
present the current situation in academic discourse related to the review of
the most used quantitative methods in the study of geopolitical phenomena
and to analyze the interpretation of the findings of such research. The key
advantage of quantifying geopolitical phenomena is also their biggest
problem - the data sources diversity used to quantify different phenomena
results in many inconsistencies, ranging from research practices, research
methods and techniques to the interpretation of statistical findings. Based
on the review of existing literature regarding the shatterbelt concept and
insights into some of the individual quantitative research, the author
preliminary defines three research stages in the quantification of
geopolitics and concludes the quantitative approach is underdeveloped in the
study of this scientific discipline. In addition, existing data collection
and collection methods and techniques are not sufficiently systematic or
uniform, but provide a fruitful basis for considering long-term processes
taking place in a particular geographical area.