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World Affairs Online
Agenda 21 required countries to develop and regularly update a national set of indicators for sustainable development. Several countries now have such sets also including separate indicators for climate change. Some of these indicators typically report global concentration of green house gases in the atmosphere or time series for global temperatures. While such indicators may give the public information about the state of the global climate, they do not provide a benchmark which makes it possible for the public to evaluate the climate policy of their government. With Kantian ethics as our point of departure, we propose a benchmark for national climate policy. The benchmark is that each nation state should act as if a global treaty on climate change were in place. This would require each nation state to carry out all green house gas mitigation projects below a certain cost. Furthermore, it would require each nation to keep their national green house gas emissions including acquisitions of emission permits from other countries within a certain limit. Both measures are relatively easy to track and can thus serve as indicators.
BASE
The global energy transition from fossil to low-carbon energy challenges the future of the Norwegian petroleum sector, a major factor in the country's economy, now facing financial climate risk and longterm declining demand, particularly for gas to the EU. What energy policies can assist the transition into a low-carbon society? We explore three investment scenarios for the Norwegian offshore energy sector from 2020 to 2070: 1) Business as usual, 2) Increasing cash-flow by harvesting existing petroleum fields and cutting investments (Harvest-and-Exit), or 3) Rebuilding with green offshore energy investments. In a new economic model, we compare impacts on key macro- and sectoreconomic variables. We find that investing moderately in green offshore energy production can reverse the extra job decline that a quicker phase-out of petroleum investments would incur. The impacts on the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund - Government Pension Fund Global - and on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita are insignificant to 2050 and positive by 2070. The simulated investments and economic results can be compared with observations to constitute forward-looking indicators of Norway's energy transitioning.
BASE
"Earth For All is an antidote to despair. Combining the global economy, population, inequality, food, and energy in a state-of-the art computer model, a leading group of scientists and economists present a plan of five system-shifting steps to achieve prosperity for all within planetary limits in a single generation."--
"Earth For All is an antidote to despair. Combining the global economy, population, inequality, food, and energy in a state-of-the art computer model, a leading group of scientists and economists present a plan of five system-shifting steps to achieve prosperity for all within planetary limits in a single generation."--
World Affairs Online
»Wohlstand innerhalb der Grenzen unseres Planeten ist möglich!« Jørgen Randers. 1972 erschütterte ein Buch die Fortschrittsgläubigkeit der Welt: »Die Grenzen des Wachstums«. Der erste Bericht an den Club of Rome gilt seither als die einflussreichste Publikation zur drohenden Überlastung unseres Planeten. Zum 50-jährigen Jubiläum blicken renommierte Wissenschaftler*innen wie Jørgen Randers, Sandrine Dixson-Declève und Johan Rockström abermals in die Zukunft – und legen ein Genesungsprogramm für unsere krisengeschüttelte Welt vor. Um den trägen »Tanker Erde« von seinem zerstörerischen Kurs abzubringen, verbinden sie aktuelle wissenschaftliche Erkenntnisse mit innovativen Ideen für eine andere Wirtschaft. Der aktuelle Bericht an den Club of Rome liefert eine politische Gebrauchsanweisung für fünf wesentliche Handlungsfelder, in denen mit vergleichbar kleinen Weichenstellungen große Veränderungen erreicht werden können - gegen die Armut im globalen Süden, - gegen grassierende Ungleichheit, - für eine regenerative und naturverträgliche Landwirtschaft, - für eine umfassende Energiewende - und für die Gleichstellung der Frauen. Wer wissen will, wie sich eine gute Zukunft realisieren lässt, kommt an »Earth for All« nicht vorbei.